Keegan Smith vs Luka PavlovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keegan Smith and Luka Pavlovic have met 1 time since 2026; Luka Pavlovic leads 1–0. Across all meetings Smith has taken 0 sets to Pavlovic's 2. Their most recent meeting: Luka Pavlovic won at Segovia Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Smith | Pavlovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keegan Smith | Luka Pavlovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 48/67 | 52% | 13/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 15/32 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 34/99 | 40% | 19/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 35/59 | 28% | 5/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 72% | 21/29 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 27/50 | 65% | 13/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 56/66 | 83% | 20/24 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 48/66 | 54% | 13/24 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Smith 0, Pavlovic 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
💥 Big Hitter
Pavlovic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 25, 2026
Segovia Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Smith | Pavlovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Keegan Smith | Luka Pavlovic | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 100% | 13/13 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.25 | 2.13 |
| ROI % | +31.9% | -3.5% |
| Units P/L | +4.78u | -0.49u |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pavlovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Smith's 40%).
| Opponent | Smith | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matteo Martineau | L 63 67 26 | W 64 36 61 |
| Juan Pablo Ficovich | W 61 76 | L 16 63 36 |
| Darwin Blanch | W 46 63 62 | W 62 64 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | L 46 57 | W 26 61 61 |
| Andrew Fenty | L 64 67 67 | W 63 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luka Pavlovic
Segovia Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
Paul Inchauspe
Segovia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Segovia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Digvijay Pratap Singh
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Nerman Fatic
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Niels McDonald
Braunschweig Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Zsombor Piros
Brasov Challenger · Final
Jul 5
Guido Ivan Justo
Brasov Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 4
Vilius Gaubas
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Matteo Martineau
Segovia Challenger · Final
Jul 26
Keegan Smith
Segovia Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
Mert Alkaya
Segovia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Yi Zhou
Segovia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Takuya Kumasaka
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Yanki Erel
Pozoblanco Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Titouan Droguet
Iasi Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 49–99 matches
| Metric | Smith | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 51% |
| Sets won | 64% | 48% |
| Games won | 55% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Smith | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Smith | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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