Keegan Smith vs Luka PavlovicPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keegan Smith and Luka Pavlovic have met 1 time since 2026; Luka Pavlovic leads 1–0. Across all meetings Smith has taken 0 sets to Pavlovic's 2. Their most recent meeting: Luka Pavlovic won at Segovia Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Smith | Pavlovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keegan Smith | Luka Pavlovic | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 40/59 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 46% | 16/35 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 35/94 | 42% | 22/52 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 29/55 | 38% | 8/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 66% | 21/32 | 69% | 20/29 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 46% | 23/50 | 56% | 14/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 49/61 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 66% | 40/61 | 54% | 15/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Smith 0, Pavlovic 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
🤖 Servebot
Pavlovic
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
Both Keegan Smith and Luka Pavlovic are 🤖 Servebot types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 6,464 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 25, 2026
Segovia Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Smith | Pavlovic | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Keegan Smith | Luka Pavlovic | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 100% | 15/15 |
| 5 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 10 or more | 50% | 6/12 | 53% | 8/15 |
| 15 or more | 25% | 3/12 | 20% | 3/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 7% | 1/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–6 | 9–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.65 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | -34.4% | -13.2% |
| Units P/L | -3.78u | -2.11u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Smith | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 6 | 6 |
| Distance | 2,418 mi · 3,891 km | 2,414 mi · 3,885 km |
| Route | USA | VIE → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Pavlovic has a higher win rate against shared opponents (57% vs Smith's 29%).
| Opponent | Smith | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob Fearnley | L 64 57 46 | L 46 76 46 |
| Alexis Galarneau | L 67 36 | W 76 46 76 |
| Matteo Martineau | L 63 67 26 | W 64 36 61 |
| Juan Pablo Ficovich | W 61 76 | L 16 63 36 |
| Darwin Blanch | W 46 63 62 | W 62 64 |
| Andrew Fenty | L 64 67 67 | W 63 76 |
| Colton Smith | L 67 16 | L 67 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Hiroki Moriya
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Mitchell Krueger
Columbus Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Bryce Nakashima
Columbus Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Kaylan Bigun
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Dylan Dietrich
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Edward Winter
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 21
Mitchell Krueger
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Alexis Galarneau
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Kangyuan Shi
Jinan Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 12
Thomas Fancutt
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Ilia Simakin
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Lloyd Harris
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Akira Santillan
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Alexandre Muller
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Hunter Heck
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Ha Minh Duc Vu
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–94 matches
| Metric | Smith | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 49% |
| Sets won | 60% | 49% |
| Games won | 54% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Smith | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Smith | Pavlovic |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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