Keegan Smith vs Luis Carlos Alvarez ValdesPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keegan Smith and Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes have met 1 time since 2025; Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes leads 1–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Valdes leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Smith has taken 1 sets to Valdes's 2. Their most recent meeting: Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes won at M15 Fayetteville AR (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Smith | Carlos Alvarez Valdes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keegan Smith | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 48/67 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 15/32 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 34/99 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 35/59 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 72% | 21/29 | — | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 27/50 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 56/66 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 48/66 | 67% | 6/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Smith 0, Carlos Alvarez Valdes 0).
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 21, 2025
M15 Fayetteville AR
H Hard · Final
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Smith | Valdes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Keegan Smith | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes | ||
| 1 or more | 93% | 14/15 | 40% | 2/5 |
| 3 or more | 87% | 13/15 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 10 or more | 7% | 1/15 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/5 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/5 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Valdes |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 3–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.25 | 1.36 |
| ROI % | +31.9% | -1.5% |
| Units P/L | +4.78u | -0.06u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Smith | Valdes |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Smith and Valdes posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Smith | Valdes |
|---|---|---|
| Noah Zamora | W 63 62 | W 62 46 60 |
| Raphael Perot | W 63 76 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luka Pavlovic
Segovia Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
Paul Inchauspe
Segovia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Segovia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Digvijay Pratap Singh
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Nerman Fatic
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Niels McDonald
Braunschweig Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Zsombor Piros
Brasov Challenger · Final
Jul 5
Guido Ivan Justo
Brasov Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 4
Karl Poling
M25 East Lansing · Final
Aug 16
Max Sheldon
M25 East Lansing · Semifinals
Aug 15
Tyler Bowers
M25 East Lansing · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Noah Zamora
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Simon Caldwell
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Zsombor Velcz
M25 Harlingen TX · Round of 32
Oct 29
Keegan Smith
M15 Fayetteville AR · Final
Sep 21
Raphael Perot
M15 Fayetteville AR · Semifinals
Sep 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 11–99 matches
| Metric | Smith | Valdes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 82% |
| Sets won | 64% | 74% |
| Games won | 55% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Smith | Valdes |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Smith | Valdes |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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