Keegan Smith vs Li TuPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keegan Smith and Li Tu have met 2 times since 2022; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Lexington Challenger in 2022 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Smith has taken 3 sets to Tu's 3. Their most recent meeting: Li Tu won at Wuning 2 Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Smith | Tu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keegan Smith | Li Tu | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 48/67 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 47% | 15/32 | 23% | 3/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 34% | 34/99 | 28% | 9/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 35/59 | 52% | 12/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 72% | 21/29 | 0% | 0/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 54% | 27/50 | 54% | 7/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 56/66 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 48/66 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Smith 0, Tu 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Smith
💥 Big Hitter
Tu
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🤖 Servebot is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 3,444 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Apr 16, 2026
Wuning 2 Challenger
H Hard · 2nd Round
Aug 1, 2022
Lexington Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Smith | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.25 | - |
| ROI % | +31.9% | - |
| Units P/L | +4.78u | - |
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Smith has a higher win rate against shared opponents (75% vs Tu's 50%).
| Opponent | Smith | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Rio Noguchi | W 63 46 62 | L 64 06 57 |
| Bu Yunchaokete | L 46 57 | W 60 62 |
| Hayato Matsuoka | W 76 46 76 | W 63 76 |
| Enzo Aguiard | W 64 64 | L 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Luka Pavlovic
Segovia Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 25
Paul Inchauspe
Segovia Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Segovia Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 22
Digvijay Pratap Singh
Segovia Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Nerman Fatic
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Niels McDonald
Braunschweig Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Zsombor Piros
Brasov Challenger · Final
Jul 5
Guido Ivan Justo
Brasov Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 4
Lorenzo Carboni
Internazionali di Tennis Città di Perugia | G.I.MA. Tennis Cup · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Lukas Neumayer
Vicenza Challenger · 1st Round
May 25
Tommaso Compagnucci
Cervia Challenger · 1st Round
May 19
Fajing Sun
Wuning 2 Challenger · Final
Apr 19
Charles Broom
Wuning 2 Challenger · Semifinals
Apr 18
Blake Ellis
Wuning 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Apr 17
Keegan Smith
Wuning 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 16
Hayato Matsuoka
Wuning 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–99 matches
| Metric | Smith | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 68% | 59% |
| Sets won | 64% | 56% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Smith | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Smith | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.