Keegan Rice vs Nicolas ArseneaultPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keegan Rice and Nicolas Arseneault have met 1 time since 2026; Keegan Rice leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rice has taken 2 sets to Arseneault's 0. Their most recent meeting: Keegan Rice won at Winnipeg Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rice | Arseneault | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keegan Rice | Nicolas Arseneault | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 8/12 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 3/7 | 21% | 3/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 7/19 | 29% | 6/21 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 6/6 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 69% | 9/13 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 6/6 | 38% | 3/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 10/13 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 44% | 4/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rice 1, Arseneault 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rice
⚔️ The Gladiator
Arseneault
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
⚔️ The Gladiator vs 🎾 All-Court is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 322 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 21, 2026
Winnipeg Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rice | Arseneault | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Keegan Rice | Nicolas Arseneault | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 4/6 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 5 or more | 33% | 2/6 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/6 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rice | Arseneault |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 4–3 | 1–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.31 | 2.54 |
| ROI % | +27.3% | -82.5% |
| Units P/L | +1.91u | -4.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rice has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Arseneault's 50%).
| Opponent | Rice | Arseneault |
|---|---|---|
| Liam Draxl | W 63 64 | L 46 67 |
| Alex Rybakov | W 46 76 63 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Mark Lajal
Vancouver Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Harry Wendelken
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Daniel Milavsky
Vancouver Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rio Noguchi
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Nicolas Arseneault
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Arthur Gea
Granby Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Jack Anthrop
M15 Champaign · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Valentin Gonzalez-Galino
M15 Champaign · 1st Round
Aug 27
Tristan Schoolkate
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Andres Martin
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 5
Tyler Zink
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Keegan Rice
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Aleksandar Vukic
Granby Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 15
Alvaro Lopez San Martin
Granby challenger
Jul 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–22 matches
| Metric | Rice | Arseneault |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 32% |
| Sets won | 60% | 35% |
| Games won | 52% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rice | Arseneault |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rice | Arseneault |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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