Keegan Rice vs Nicolas ArseneaultPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keegan Rice and Nicolas Arseneault have met 1 time since 2026; Keegan Rice leads 1–0. Across all meetings Rice has taken 2 sets to Arseneault's 0. Their most recent meeting: Keegan Rice won at Winnipeg Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rice | Arseneault | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keegan Rice | Nicolas Arseneault | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 8/12 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 3/7 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 7/19 | 30% | 7/23 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 86% | 6/7 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 9/12 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 86% | 6/7 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 77% | 10/13 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 62% | 8/13 | 50% | 6/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rice 1, Arseneault 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rice
⚔️ The Gladiator
Arseneault
🎾 All-Court
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 321 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Nicolas Arseneault.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 21, 2026
Winnipeg Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rice | Arseneault | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Keegan Rice | Nicolas Arseneault | ||
| 1 or more | 69% | 9/13 | 90% | 9/10 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 40% | 4/10 |
| 5 or more | 15% | 2/13 | 20% | 2/10 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 10% | 1/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rice | Arseneault |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–4 | 3–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.42 | 2.63 |
| ROI % | +56.5% | -37.1% |
| Units P/L | +8.47u | -3.71u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rice | Arseneault |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Rice has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Arseneault's 50%).
| Opponent | Rice | Arseneault |
|---|---|---|
| Liam Draxl | W 63 64 | L 46 67 |
| Alex Rybakov | W 46 76 63 | W 76 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mark Lajal
Vancouver Challenger · Semifinals
Jul 31
Harry Wendelken
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Daniel Milavsky
Vancouver Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
Pablo Llamas Ruiz
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 29
Rio Noguchi
Winnipeg Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Nicolas Arseneault
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Arthur Gea
Granby Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 17
Alexander Rozin
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 15
Valentin Gonzalez-Galino
M15 Champaign · 1st Round
Aug 27
Jack Anthrop
M15 Champaign · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Andres Martin
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 5
Keegan Rice
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Aleksandar Vukic
Granby Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Andres Martin
Granby Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 14
Alvaro Lopez San Martin
Granby challenger
Jul 14
Liam Draxl
M25 Laval · 2nd Round
Jul 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–24 matches
| Metric | Rice | Arseneault |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 38% |
| Sets won | 60% | 41% |
| Games won | 52% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rice | Arseneault |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rice | Arseneault |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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