Keaton Hance vs William JansenPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keaton Hance and William Jansen have met 1 time since 2026; William Jansen leads 1–0. Across all meetings Hance has taken 0 sets to Jansen's 2. Their most recent meeting: William Jansen won at M25 Champaign (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hance | Jansen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keaton Hance | William Jansen | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 15/18 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 14% | 2/14 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 16% | 5/32 | 44% | 7/16 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 73% | 11/15 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 7/16 | 60% | 3/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 17% | 1/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 18/18 | 100% | 5/5 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 100% | 5/5 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hance 0, Jansen 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hance
🪃 Counterpuncher
Jansen
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 2,363 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 22, 2026
M25 Champaign
H Hard · 1st Round
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hance | Jansen |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | 7–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.07 | 1.80 |
| ROI % | -26.0% | -16.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.78u | -2.08u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Hance has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Jansen's 0%).
| Opponent | Hance | Jansen |
|---|---|---|
| Naoya Honda | W 64 62 | L 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Johannus Monday
M25 Edwardsville · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Naoya Honda
M25 Edwardsville · 1st Round
Jul 29
William Jansen
M25 Champaign · 1st Round
Jul 22
Jack Kennedy
M25 Mataro · Quarterfinals
May 22
Sergi Perez Contri
M25 Mataro · 1st Round
May 20
Sergi Perez Contri
M25 Vic · 1st Round
May 13
Nick Hardt
M15 Orange Park · Semifinals
May 2
Matthew Segura
M15 Orange Park · Quarterfinals
May 1
Billy Blaydes
M25 Aldershot · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Louis Bowden
M25 Aldershot · 1st Round
Jul 29
Naoya Honda
M25 Champaign · Semifinals
Jul 25
Karim Bennani
M25 Champaign · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Ilyas Milad Fahim
M25 Champaign · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Keaton Hance
M25 Champaign · 1st Round
Jul 22
Alexander Frusina
M25 Louisville · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Joshua Peck
M25 Louisville · 1st Round
Jul 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 16–32 matches
| Metric | Hance | Jansen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 50% |
| Sets won | 55% | 51% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hance | Jansen |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hance | Jansen |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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