Keaton Hance vs William JansenPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keaton Hance and William Jansen have met 1 time since 2026; William Jansen leads 1–0. Across all meetings Hance has taken 0 sets to Jansen's 2. Their most recent meeting: William Jansen won at M25 Champaign (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hance | Jansen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keaton Hance | William Jansen | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 17/21 | 73% | 8/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 21% | 3/14 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 7/35 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 75% | 12/16 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 10/18 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 29% | 2/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 21/21 | 100% | 8/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 100% | 8/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hance 0, Jansen 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hance
🪃 Counterpuncher
Jansen
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,969 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 22, 2026
M25 Champaign
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Hance | Jansen | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Keaton Hance | William Jansen | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 3 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 82% | 9/11 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 73% | 8/11 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/11 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/11 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hance | Jansen |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 7–3 |
| Avg odds | 3.49 | 1.52 |
| ROI % | +22.9% | +6.0% |
| Units P/L | +1.60u | +0.60u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hance | Jansen |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km | — |
| Route | USA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Hance has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Jansen's 0%).
| Opponent | Hance | Jansen |
|---|---|---|
| Naoya Honda | W 64 62 | L 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Duncan Chan
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Michael Antonius
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Nishesh Basavareddy
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Andres Martin
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 23
Johannus Monday
M25 Edwardsville · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Naoya Honda
M25 Edwardsville · 1st Round
Jul 29
William Jansen
M25 Champaign · 1st Round
Jul 22
Jack Kennedy
M25 Mataro · Quarterfinals
May 22
Sean Daryabeigi
M15 Columbia · Semifinals
Sep 26
Evan Bynoe
M15 Columbia · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Corey Craig
M15 Columbia · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Seydina Andre
M15 Columbia · 1st Round
Sep 23
Billy Blaydes
M25 Aldershot · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Louis Bowden
M25 Aldershot · 1st Round
Jul 29
Naoya Honda
M25 Champaign · Semifinals
Jul 25
Karim Bennani
M25 Champaign · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–35 matches
| Metric | Hance | Jansen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 58% |
| Sets won | 58% | 58% |
| Games won | 53% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hance | Jansen |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hance | Jansen |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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