Keaton Hance vs Nick HardtPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keaton Hance and Nick Hardt have met 1 time since 2026; Nick Hardt leads 1–0. Across all meetings Hance has taken 0 sets to Hardt's 2. Their most recent meeting: Nick Hardt won at M15 Orange Park (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hance | Hardt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keaton Hance | Nick Hardt | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 15/18 | 63% | 32/51 |
| Wins a set when losing | 14% | 2/14 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 16% | 5/32 | 36% | 23/64 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 73% | 11/15 | 52% | 24/46 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 7/16 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 18/18 | 92% | 45/49 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 65% | 32/49 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hance 0, Hardt 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hance
🪃 Counterpuncher
Hardt
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 1,935 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 2, 2026
M15 Orange Park
C Clay · Semifinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hance | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | 14–6 |
| Avg odds | 3.07 | 1.46 |
| ROI % | -26.0% | -6.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.78u | -1.20u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hance | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 3 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | — | ITA → CZE → GER |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Hance has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Hardt's 33%).
| Opponent | Hance | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| Sulaiman Syed | W 62 75 | L 67 67 |
| Jack Kennedy | L 67 62 57 | L 57 57 |
| Ryan Colby | W 64 62 | W 26 61 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Johannus Monday
M25 Edwardsville · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Naoya Honda
M25 Edwardsville · 1st Round
Jul 29
William Jansen
M25 Champaign · 1st Round
Jul 22
Jack Kennedy
M25 Mataro · Quarterfinals
May 22
Sergi Perez Contri
M25 Mataro · 1st Round
May 20
Sergi Perez Contri
M25 Vic · 1st Round
May 13
Nick Hardt
M15 Orange Park · Semifinals
May 2
Matthew Segura
M15 Orange Park · Quarterfinals
May 1
Kai Wehnelt
Augsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Oleksii Krutykh
Prague Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Jakub Filip
Prague Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 17
Marco Cecchinato
Todi Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 10
Lorenzo Claverie
Bogotá 5 challenger
Jul 9
Lorenzo Claverie
Bogota Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Wilson Leite
Piracicaba Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 26
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–64 matches
| Metric | Hance | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 80% |
| Sets won | 55% | 70% |
| Games won | 52% | 57% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hance | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hance | Hardt |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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