Keaton Hance vs Michael AntoniusPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keaton Hance and Michael Antonius have met 1 time since 2026; Keaton Hance leads 1–0. Across all meetings Hance has taken 2 sets to Antonius's 1. Their most recent meeting: Keaton Hance won at Columbus Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hance | Antonius | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keaton Hance | Michael Antonius | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 81% | 17/21 | 70% | 14/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 21% | 3/14 | 36% | 4/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 7/35 | 32% | 10/31 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 75% | 12/16 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 10/18 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 88% | 7/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 21/21 | 95% | 20/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 17/21 | 67% | 14/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hance 0, Antonius 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hance
🪃 Counterpuncher
Antonius
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Keaton Hance and Michael Antonius are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 27, 2026
Columbus Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Hance | Antonius | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Keaton Hance | Michael Antonius | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 3 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hance | Antonius |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | 4–2 |
| Avg odds | 3.49 | 1.81 |
| ROI % | +22.9% | +17.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.60u | +1.06u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Hance | Antonius |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 4 | 1 |
| Distance | 1,953 mi · 3,143 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | USA | USA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Hance and Antonius posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Hance | Antonius |
|---|---|---|
| Tristan McCormick | W 62 26 62 | W 61 36 62 |
| Davide Tortora | W 75 64 | W 63 57 62 |
| Davide Tortora | W 75 64 | W 63 57 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Duncan Chan
Columbus Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Michael Antonius
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Nishesh Basavareddy
San Diego 2 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Andres Martin
San Diego 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 23
Johannus Monday
M25 Edwardsville · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Naoya Honda
M25 Edwardsville · 1st Round
Jul 29
William Jansen
M25 Champaign · 1st Round
Jul 22
Jack Kennedy
M25 Mataro · Quarterfinals
May 22
Keaton Hance
Columbus Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Kei Nishikori
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Henry Searle
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Ilyas Milad Fahim
M15 Rochester · Semifinals
Jul 19
Tristan McCormick
M15 Rochester · Final
Jul 19
Alexander Bernard
M15 Rochester · Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Dillon Beckles
M15 Rochester · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Jonah Braswell
M15 Rochester · 1st Round
Jul 15
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 32–35 matches
| Metric | Hance | Antonius |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 66% |
| Sets won | 58% | 61% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hance | Antonius |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hance | Antonius |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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