Keaton Hance vs Matthew SeguraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Keaton Hance and Matthew Segura have met 1 time since 2026; Keaton Hance leads 1–0. Across all meetings Hance has taken 2 sets to Segura's 0. Their most recent meeting: Keaton Hance won at M15 Orange Park (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Hance | Segura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Keaton Hance | Matthew Segura | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 15/18 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 14% | 2/14 | 33% | 3/9 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 16% | 5/32 | 40% | 6/15 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 73% | 11/15 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 44% | 7/16 | 55% | 6/11 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 1/3 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 18/18 | 71% | 5/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 43% | 3/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Hance 1, Segura 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Hance
🪃 Counterpuncher
Segura
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 55% vs 🧱 The Wall across 753 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Keaton Hance.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 1, 2026
M15 Orange Park
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Hance | Segura |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 3.07 | 1.06 |
| ROI % | -26.0% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | -0.78u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Hance and Segura posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Hance | Segura |
|---|---|---|
| Sulaiman Syed | W 62 75 | W 64 63 |
| Ignacio Monzon | W 64 64 | W 26 63 62 |
| Tommaso Compagnucci | L 26 06 | L 26 16 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Johannus Monday
M25 Edwardsville · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Naoya Honda
M25 Edwardsville · 1st Round
Jul 29
William Jansen
M25 Champaign · 1st Round
Jul 22
Jack Kennedy
M25 Mataro · Quarterfinals
May 22
Sergi Perez Contri
M25 Mataro · 1st Round
May 20
Sergi Perez Contri
M25 Vic · 1st Round
May 13
Nick Hardt
M15 Orange Park · Semifinals
May 2
Matthew Segura
M15 Orange Park · Quarterfinals
May 1
Ivan Mitric
Futures 2026
Jul 7
Arman Zamani
Futures 2026
Jul 6
Joaquim de Almeida
M15 Vero Beach · 2nd Round
May 7
Joaquim Almeida
M15 Vero Beach FL · Round of 16
May 7
Vladislav Melnic
M15 Vero Beach · 1st Round
May 6
Keaton Hance
M15 Orange Park · Quarterfinals
May 1
Joao Vitor Goncalves Ceolin
M15 Orange Park · 2nd Round
Apr 30
Jake Fellows
M15 Orange Park FL · Round of 32
Apr 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–32 matches
| Metric | Hance | Segura |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 56% | 40% |
| Sets won | 55% | 42% |
| Games won | 52% | 45% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Hance | Segura |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Hance | Segura |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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