Kayo Nishimura vs Natsumi KawaguchiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇯🇵Kayo Nishimura
#522 · 20 yrs · Right-Handed
3w2 meetings · sets 0–4
🇯🇵Natsumi Kawaguchi
#411 · 23 yrs · Left-Handed
Kayo Nishimura and Natsumi Kawaguchi have met 2 times since 2026; Natsumi Kawaguchi leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at W35 Kyoto in 2026 on hard. Kawaguchi has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Nishimura has taken 0 sets to Kawaguchi's 4. Their most recent meeting: Natsumi Kawaguchi won at W50 Nanao (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Nishimura | Kawaguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kayo Nishimura | Natsumi Kawaguchi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 64% | 18/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 18% | 4/22 | 26% | 6/23 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 16/59 | 31% | 16/51 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 14/25 | 48% | 11/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 12/24 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 63% | 5/8 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 97% | 30/31 | 85% | 22/26 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 81% | 25/31 | 69% | 18/26 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Nishimura 0, Kawaguchi 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Nishimura
⚔️ The Gladiator
Kawaguchi
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,929 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Natsumi Kawaguchi.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Sep 22, 2026
W50 Nanao
? Carpet · 1st Round
Sep 15, 2026
W35 Kyoto
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Nishimura | Kawaguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kayo Nishimura | Natsumi Kawaguchi | ||
| 1 or more | 22% | 2/9 | 100% | 8/8 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 75% | 6/8 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 25% | 2/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Nishimura | Kawaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–7 | 3–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 1.86 |
| ROI % | -41.6% | -46.9% |
| Units P/L | -3.74u | -3.75u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Nishimura | Kawaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | ESP → AUT | ESP → AUT → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kawaguchi has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Nishimura's 40%).
| Opponent | Nishimura | Kawaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Rinko Matsuda | L 26 63 26 | L 46 26 |
| Hikaru Sato | W 46 76 75 | L 46 67 |
| Patcharin Cheapchadej | L 26 26 | L 46 57 |
| Sara Saito | L 36 36 | W 26 64 63 |
| Yishuang Lin | W 63 64 | W 61 62 |
| Yu Chen Lin | W 63 64 | W 61 62 |
| Eri Shimizu | L 26 36 | W 60 63 |
| Taylah Preston | L 36 57 | L 26 46 |
| Yuka Hosoki | W 62 62 | W 62 63 |
| Ayano Shimizu | L 26 36 | W 61 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Natsumi Kawaguchi
W50 Nanao · 1st Round
Sep 22
Natsumi Kawaguchi
W35 Kyoto · 1st Round
Sep 15
Vaishnavi Adkar
W50 Guiyang · 1st Round
Sep 8
Hikaru Sato
W50 Guiyang · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Eunhye Lee
W50 Guiyang · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Patcharin Cheapchadej
W75 Tianjin · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Dana Guzman
W35 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Lexington Reed
W75 Lexington · 1st Round
Jul 29
Meiqi Guo
Jingshan Tennis Open - Jingshan · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 26
Sayaka Ishii
W50 Nanao · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Kayo Nishimura
W50 Nanao · 1st Round
Sep 22
Rinko Matsuda
W35 Kyoto · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Haruna Arakawa
W35 Kyoto · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Kayo Nishimura
W35 Kyoto · 1st Round
Sep 15
Unknown Player
W50 Guiyang · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Funa Kozaki
W75 Tianjin · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–59 matches
| Metric | Nishimura | Kawaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 55% |
| Sets won | 58% | 53% |
| Games won | 53% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Nishimura | Kawaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W50 | 0 | 1 |
| ITF W35 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Nishimura | Kawaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Carpet | 0 | 1 |
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