Katie Volynets vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Katie Volynets
#88 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
4 meetings · sets 6–4
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#71 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
4TitleKatie Volynets and Tatjana Maria have met 4 times since 2024; Katie Volynets leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Thailand Open - Hua Hin in 2024 on hard. On grass courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts Volynets leads 2–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Maria leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Volynets has taken 6 sets to Maria's 4. Their most recent meeting: Tatjana Maria won at Hall of Fame Open - Newport (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Volynets | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katie Volynets | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 29/43 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 12/25 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 26/68 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 23/46 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 50% | 10/20 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 8/12 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 33/37 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 29/37 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Volynets 1, Maria 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Volynets
🪃 Counterpuncher
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 7,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tatjana Maria.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 12, 2026
Hall of Fame Open - Newport
G Grass · Final
Feb 3, 2026
Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 1, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Feb 1, 2024
Thailand Open - Hua Hin
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Volynets | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katie Volynets | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 53% | 9/17 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 12% | 2/17 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 6% | 1/17 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Volynets | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–5 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.63 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | +0.6% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.10u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Volynets | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km | — |
| Route | POR → ROU → CZE | UKR → TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maria has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Volynets's 40%).
| Opponent | Volynets | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Elise Mertens | L 06 64 57 | L 57 06 |
| Kimberly Birrell | L 62 26 57 | L 46 63 57 |
| Kamilla Rakhimova | W 63 60 | W 64 63 |
| Jelena Ostapenko | L 46 67 | W 46 61 62 |
| Nikola Bartunkova | L 46 57 | L 76 26 36 |
| Tereza Valentova | W 63 75 | W 63 75 |
| Mananchaya Sawangkaew | W 62 63 | W 62 61 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 57 57 | L 26 57 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 16 26 | L 64 67 16 |
| Iryna Shymanovich | W 64 62 | W 76 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Victoria Quinde Serrano
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Polina Kudermetova
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Elise Mertens
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Robin Montgomery
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Kimberly Birrell
Korea Open - Seoul · Quarterfinals
Sep 26
Kamilla Rakhimova
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Elvina Kalieva
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 21
Linda Noskova
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 1
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–68 matches
| Metric | Volynets | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 63% | 53% |
| Sets won | 60% | 55% |
| Games won | 55% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Volynets | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Volynets | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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