Katie Volynets vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Katie Volynets
#91 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
5Title4 meetings · sets 6–4
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Katie Volynets and Tatjana Maria have met 4 times since 2024; Katie Volynets leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Thailand Open - Hua Hin in 2024 on hard. On grass courts they are level 1–1. On hard courts Volynets leads 2–0. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Maria leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Volynets has taken 6 sets to Maria's 4. Their most recent meeting: Tatjana Maria won at Hall of Fame Open - Newport (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Volynets | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katie Volynets | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 21/30 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 10/21 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 19/51 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 45% | 13/29 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 10/19 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 6/8 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 21/27 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 4 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Volynets 1, Maria 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Volynets
🪃 Counterpuncher
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 7,380 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Jul 12, 2026
Hall of Fame Open - Newport
G Grass · Final
Feb 3, 2026
Ostrava Open - Ostrava
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 1, 2025
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 1st Round
Feb 1, 2024
Thailand Open - Hua Hin
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Volynets | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katie Volynets | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 62% | 8/13 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 23% | 3/13 | 61% | 14/23 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Volynets | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 15–5 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.49 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | +8.2% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.64u | +2.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Volynets | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | 911 mi · 1,466 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | ECU → POL → ESP | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Volynets has a higher win rate against shared opponents (60% vs Maria's 40%).
| Opponent | Volynets | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Tereza Valentova | W 63 75 | W 63 75 |
| Mananchaya Sawangkaew | W 62 63 | W 62 61 |
| Diana Shnaider | L 57 57 | L 26 57 |
| Caty Mcnally | L 16 26 | L 64 67 16 |
| Iryna Shymanovich | W 64 62 | W 76 62 |
| Viktorija Golubic | W 75 26 76 | L 36 36 |
| Iva Jovic | L 26 36 | L 16 26 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | L 36 46 | W 76 64 |
| Laura Samson | W 76 61 | L 46 26 |
| Kimberly Birrell | W 26 64 76 | L 46 63 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Philly Open - Philadelphia · Semifinals
Aug 29
Tereza Valentova
Philly Open - Philadelphia · Final
Aug 29
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Philly Open - Philadelphia · Quarterfinals
Aug 28
Mia Pohankova
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 2nd Round
Aug 25
Hong Yi Cody Wong
Philly Open - Philadelphia · 1st Round
Aug 23
Katie Boulter
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Darja Vidmanova
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · Quarterfinals
Aug 1
Iryna Shymanovich
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 51–60 matches
| Metric | Volynets | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 50% |
| Sets won | 58% | 52% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Volynets | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 0 | 1 |
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 250 | 2 | 0 |
| WTA 125 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Volynets | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
| Grass | 1 | 1 |
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