Katie Swan vs Sara SaitoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇬🇧Katie Swan
#206 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
9w1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇯🇵Sara Saito
#243 · 19 yrs · Right-Handed
4wKatie Swan and Sara Saito have met 1 time since 2026; Katie Swan leads 1–0. Across all meetings Swan has taken 2 sets to Saito's 0. Their most recent meeting: Katie Swan won at W75 Kurume (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swan | Saito | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katie Swan | Sara Saito | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 30/36 | 69% | 22/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 5/11 | 33% | 8/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 11/47 | 32% | 18/56 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 24/35 | 44% | 16/36 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 78% | 7/9 | 31% | 5/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 32/34 | 90% | 26/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 76% | 22/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swan 1, Saito 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swan
👑 The Complete Package
Saito
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,688 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Katie Swan.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 15, 2026
W75 Kurume
? Carpet · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swan | Saito | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katie Swan | Sara Saito | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 53% | 8/15 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Swan | Saito |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 9–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.54 | 1.71 |
| ROI % | +11.0% | -1.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.44u | -0.24u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swan has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Saito's 75%).
| Opponent | Swan | Saito |
|---|---|---|
| Erika Sema | W 63 61 | W 36 62 64 |
| Lizette Cabrera | W 62 64 | W 67 75 64 |
| Naho Sato | W 60 63 | W 62 46 63 |
| Natsumi Kawaguchi | W 64 76 | L 62 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Madison Keys
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Irina Camelia Begu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Viktorija Golubic
Lexus Ilkley Open - Ilkley · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Tereza Martincova
Lexus Ilkley Open - Ilkley · 1st Round
Jun 10
Taylah Preston
Lexus Birmingham Open - Birmingham · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Kyoka Okamura
W75 Kurume · Final
May 17
Mei Yamaguchi
W75 Kurume · Semifinals
May 16
Sara Saito
W75 Kurume · Quarterfinals
May 15
Kylie Collins
W75 Lexington · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Erika Sema
W75 Lexington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Luciana Perry
W75 Lexington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
W100 Evansville · 1st Round
Jul 22
Kayla Cross
W75 Granby · Final
Jul 19
Cadence Brace
W75 Granby · Quarterfinals
Jul 18
Sakura Hosogi
W75 Granby · Semifinals
Jul 18
Kayo Nishimura
W75 Granby · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–56 matches
| Metric | Swan | Saito |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 57% |
| Sets won | 73% | 55% |
| Games won | 60% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swan | Saito |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W75 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swan | Saito |
|---|---|---|
| Carpet | 1 | 0 |
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