Katie Swan vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco GonzalezPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฌ๐งKatie Swan
#191 ยท 27 yrs ยท Right-Handed
1 meeting ยท sets 2โ0
๐ช๐จMell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
#354 ยท 23 yrs ยท Left-Handed
Katie Swan and Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez have met 1 time since 2026; Katie Swan leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Swan has taken 2 sets to Gonzalez's 0. Their most recent meeting: Katie Swan won at W50 Evora (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swan | Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katie Swan | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 27/34 | 70% | 26/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 8/13 | 34% | 10/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 15/47 | 32% | 21/66 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 21/32 | 13% | 2/15 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 85% | 11/13 | 75% | 12/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 30/35 | 91% | 32/35 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 27/35 | 74% | 26/35 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swan 1, Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swan
๐ The Complete Package
Gonzalez
โ๏ธ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ๐ The Complete Package archetype wins about 57% vs โ๏ธ The Gladiator across 3,228 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Katie Swan.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 8, 2026
W50 Evora
H Hard ยท 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swan | Gonzalez | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katie Swan | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 69% | 9/13 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 8% | 1/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Swan | Gonzalez |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ4 | 4โ5 |
| Avg odds | 1.53 | 3.80 |
| ROI % | -7.5% | +43.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.90u | +3.88u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Swan | Gonzalez |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 1 |
| Events | 2 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 3 |
| Distance | โ | โ |
| Route | EGY โ ECU | BEL |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Swan and Gonzalez posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Swan | Gonzalez |
|---|---|---|
| Mia Pohankova | L 63 57 16 | L 36 36 |
| Martina Capurro Taborda | L | W 76 62 |
| Julia Riera | W 64 63 | L 16 06 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lisa Pigato
W75 Quinta do Lago ยท Semifinals
Oct 3
Alicia Dudeney
W75 Quinta do Lago ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Elena Malygina
W75 Quinta do Lago ยท 2nd Round
Oct 1
Reese Brantmeier
W75 Quinta do Lago ยท 1st Round
Sep 30
Mia Pohankova
Eupago Porto Open - Porto ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Valentina Steiner
Eupago Porto Open - Porto ยท 2nd Round
Sep 24
Sahaja Yamalapalli
Eupago Porto Open - Porto ยท 1st Round
Sep 22
Matilde Jorge
W50 Evora ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Francesca Pace
W35 Las Vegas ยท Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Kristina Penickova
W35 Las Vegas ยท 2nd Round
Oct 8
Maria Sholokhova
W35 Las Vegas ยท 1st Round
Oct 7
Dalila Spiteri
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Katie Swan
W50 Evora ยท 1st Round
Sep 8
Linda Fruhvirtova
W50 Leiria ยท 2nd Round
Sep 4
Adithya Karunaratne
W50 Leiria ยท 1st Round
Sep 1
Mia Pohankova
Philly Open - Philadelphia ยท 1st Round
Aug 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 48โ66 matches
| Metric | Swan | Gonzalez |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 56% |
| Sets won | 69% | 55% |
| Games won | 58% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swan | Gonzalez |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W50 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swan | Gonzalez |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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