Katie Swan vs Mei YamaguchiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Katie Swan and Mei Yamaguchi have met 1 time since 2026; Katie Swan leads 1–0. Across all meetings Swan has taken 2 sets to Yamaguchi's 0. Their most recent meeting: Katie Swan won at W75 Kurume (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swan | Yamaguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katie Swan | Mei Yamaguchi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 30/36 | 58% | 14/24 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 5/11 | 28% | 7/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 11/47 | 35% | 17/49 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 24/35 | 42% | 11/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 78% | 7/9 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 32/34 | 85% | 17/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 70% | 14/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swan 1, Yamaguchi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swan
👑 The Complete Package
Yamaguchi
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 🏹 Frontrunner is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 821 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 16, 2026
W75 Kurume
? Carpet · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swan | Yamaguchi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katie Swan | Mei Yamaguchi | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 11% | 1/9 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Swan | Yamaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | 3.54 | 2.58 |
| ROI % | +11.0% | -26.4% |
| Units P/L | +0.44u | -2.38u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 9 shared opponents, both Swan and Yamaguchi posted a 56% win rate.
| Opponent | Swan | Yamaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Zongyu Li | L 67 67 | L 36 67 |
| Erika Sema | W 63 61 | W 63 76 |
| Lizette Cabrera | W 62 64 | W 63 63 |
| Lanlana Tararudee | L 16 63 26 | L 46 63 36 |
| Natsumi Kawaguchi | W 64 76 | W 36 63 64 |
| Emerson Jones | L 57 36 | L 46 26 |
| Fangran Tian | L 62 67 16 | L 26 62 26 |
| Naho Sato | W 60 63 | W 62 75 |
| Sarah Rokusek | W 16 62 76 | W 75 62 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Madison Keys
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Irina Camelia Begu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Viktorija Golubic
Lexus Ilkley Open - Ilkley · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Tereza Martincova
Lexus Ilkley Open - Ilkley · 1st Round
Jun 10
Taylah Preston
Lexus Birmingham Open - Birmingham · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Kyoka Okamura
W75 Kurume · Final
May 17
Mei Yamaguchi
W75 Kurume · Semifinals
May 16
Sara Saito
W75 Kurume · Quarterfinals
May 15
Rebecca Marino
W75 Granby · 1st Round
Jul 15
Greet Minnen
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · 1st Round
Jul 9
Ena Koike
W100 Cary · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Whitney Osuigwe
W100 Cary · 1st Round
Jun 30
Zongyu Li
W100 Wuning · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Juliet Jia Wen Zhang
Wuning 4 ITF · Round of 16
Jun 11
Junhan Zhang
W100 Wuning · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Eunhye Lee
W100 Wuning · 1st Round
Jun 9
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–49 matches
| Metric | Swan | Yamaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 49% |
| Sets won | 73% | 48% |
| Games won | 60% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swan | Yamaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W75 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swan | Yamaguchi |
|---|---|---|
| Carpet | 1 | 0 |
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