Katie Swan vs Mary StoianaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Katie Swan and Mary Stoiana have met 1 time since 2026; Mary Stoiana leads 1–0. Across all meetings Swan has taken 1 sets to Stoiana's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mary Stoiana won at U.S. Open - New York (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swan | Stoiana | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katie Swan | Mary Stoiana | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 79% | 27/34 | 67% | 37/55 |
| Wins a set when losing | 62% | 8/13 | 59% | 17/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 32% | 15/47 | 42% | 35/84 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 66% | 21/32 | 51% | 28/55 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 85% | 11/13 | 68% | 17/25 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 8/15 | 71% | 17/24 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 30/35 | 84% | 46/55 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 27/35 | 67% | 37/55 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swan 0, Stoiana 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swan
👑 The Complete Package
Stoiana
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
Both Katie Swan and Mary Stoiana are 👑 The Complete Package types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 4,208 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 26, 2026
U.S. Open - New York
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swan | Stoiana | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katie Swan | Mary Stoiana | ||
| 1 or more | 75% | 9/12 | 75% | 12/16 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 25% | 4/16 |
| 5 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 6% | 1/16 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/16 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/16 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Swan | Stoiana |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–4 | 10–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.53 | 1.92 |
| ROI % | -7.5% | -18.4% |
| Units P/L | -0.90u | -3.32u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Swan | Stoiana |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 5 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | EGY → ECU | BRA → TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Stoiana has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Swan's 33%).
| Opponent | Swan | Stoiana |
|---|---|---|
| Hanna Chang | L 67 64 46 | W 63 64 |
| Matilde Jorge | L | W 64 64 |
| Julia Riera | W 64 63 | L 64 67 36 |
| Katrina Scott | W 63 61 | W 62 62 |
| Ashlyn Krueger | L | L 76 36 16 |
| Kayla Day | L 76 26 26 | W 75 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Lisa Pigato
W75 Quinta do Lago · Semifinals
Oct 3
Alicia Dudeney
W75 Quinta do Lago · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Elena Malygina
W75 Quinta do Lago · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Reese Brantmeier
W75 Quinta do Lago · 1st Round
Sep 30
Mia Pohankova
Eupago Porto Open - Porto · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Valentina Steiner
Eupago Porto Open - Porto · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Sahaja Yamalapalli
Eupago Porto Open - Porto · 1st Round
Sep 22
Matilde Jorge
W50 Evora · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Hanna Chang
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Oct 1
Julieta Pareja
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Paula Badosa
SP Open - Sao Paulo · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Dominika Salkova
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Claire Liu
SP Open - Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Sep 16
Julia Riera
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Jazmin Ortenzi
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 1st Round
Sep 9
Alexandra Eala
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–84 matches
| Metric | Swan | Stoiana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 65% |
| Sets won | 69% | 63% |
| Games won | 58% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swan | Stoiana |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swan | Stoiana |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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