Katie Swan vs Kyoka OkamuraPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇬🇧Katie Swan
#206 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
9w2 meetings · sets 4–0
🇯🇵Kyoka Okamura
#279 · 30 yrs · Right-Handed
5wKatie Swan and Kyoka Okamura have met 2 times since 2025; Katie Swan leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at W35 Southaven 1 in 2025 on hard. Swan has won the last 2 meetings. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Swan leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Swan has taken 4 sets to Okamura's 0. Their most recent meeting: Katie Swan won at W75 Kurume (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Swan | Okamura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katie Swan | Kyoka Okamura | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 30/36 | 85% | 17/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 45% | 5/11 | 20% | 4/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 23% | 11/47 | 18% | 7/40 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 69% | 24/35 | 58% | 11/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 78% | 7/9 | 45% | 9/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 6/14 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 94% | 32/34 | 82% | 18/22 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 88% | 30/34 | 77% | 17/22 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Swan 2, Okamura 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Swan
👑 The Complete Package
Okamura
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
👑 The Complete Package vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
May 17, 2026
W75 Kurume
? Carpet · Final
Aug 7, 2025
W35 Southaven 1
H Hard · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Swan | Okamura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katie Swan | Kyoka Okamura | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 4/5 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 5 or more | 40% | 2/5 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/5 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Swan | Okamura |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–2 | 1–7 |
| Avg odds | 3.54 | 2.54 |
| ROI % | +11.0% | -70.6% |
| Units P/L | +0.44u | -5.65u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Swan has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Okamura's 0%).
| Opponent | Swan | Okamura |
|---|---|---|
| Lanlana Tararudee | L 16 63 26 | L 26 16 |
| Valentina Ryser | W 64 63 | L 64 46 36 |
| Natsumi Kawaguchi | W 64 76 | L 36 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Madison Keys
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 2
Irina Camelia Begu
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 30
Viktorija Golubic
Lexus Ilkley Open - Ilkley · 2nd Round
Jun 12
Tereza Martincova
Lexus Ilkley Open - Ilkley · 1st Round
Jun 10
Taylah Preston
Lexus Birmingham Open - Birmingham · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Kyoka Okamura
W75 Kurume · Final
May 17
Mei Yamaguchi
W75 Kurume · Semifinals
May 16
Sara Saito
W75 Kurume · Quarterfinals
May 15
Hayu Kinoshita
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · 1st Round
Jul 29
Lanlana Tararudee
Enka Open - Istanbul · 1st Round
Jul 13
Susan Bandecchi
W50 Corroios-Seixal · 1st Round
Jul 8
Hiromi Abe
W50 Elvas · 1st Round
Jul 1
Varvara Panshina
W100 Wuning · 2nd Round
Jun 11
Varvara Panshina
Wuning 4 ITF · Round of 16
Jun 11
Hiromi Abe
W100 Wuning · 1st Round
Jun 9
Yanan Hou
W50 Wuning · 1st Round
Jun 3
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 40–48 matches
| Metric | Swan | Okamura |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 75% | 50% |
| Sets won | 73% | 51% |
| Games won | 60% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Swan | Okamura |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| ITF W75 | 1 | 0 |
| ITF W35 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Swan | Okamura |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Carpet | 1 | 0 |
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