Katherine Sebov vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇦Katherine Sebov
#213 · 27 yrs · Right-Handed
4w41 meeting · sets 0–2
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#79 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
Katherine Sebov and Tatjana Maria have met 1 time since 2026; Tatjana Maria leads 1–0. Across all meetings Sebov has taken 0 sets to Maria's 2. Their most recent meeting: Tatjana Maria won at Hall of Fame Open - Newport (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sebov | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katherine Sebov | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 82% | 27/33 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 25% | 15/61 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 23/33 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 13/27 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 30% | 3/10 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 31/38 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 71% | 27/38 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sebov 0, Maria 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sebov
🏹 Frontrunner
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 1,181 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jul 9, 2026
Hall of Fame Open - Newport
G Grass · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sebov | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katherine Sebov | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 33% | 3/9 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 61% | 14/23 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sebov | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 17–8 |
| Avg odds | 3.17 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | +14.8% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | +1.93u | +2.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sebov | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 411 mi · 662 km |
| Route | CAN | CAN → POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maria has a higher win rate against shared opponents (25% vs Sebov's 0%).
| Opponent | Sebov | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Marta Kostyuk | L 67 06 | L 36 06 |
| Iryna Shymanovich | L 64 36 67 | W 76 62 |
| Tatiana Prozorova | L 57 06 | L 67 46 |
| Emerson Jones | L 62 46 36 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Marta Kostyuk
National Bank Open - Toronto · 2nd Round
Aug 4
Aoi Ito
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 3
Elvina Kalieva
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Tatjana Maria
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Cadence Brace
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · 1st Round
Jul 8
Iryna Shymanovich
Wimbledon
Jun 25
Noma Noha Akugue
Wimbledon
Jun 24
Jazmin Ortenzi
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto · 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis · 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 60–61 matches
| Metric | Sebov | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 50% |
| Sets won | 55% | 52% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sebov | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 125 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sebov | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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