Kateryna Lazarenko vs Maja PawelskaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇦Kateryna Lazarenko
#617 · 21 yrs · Right-Handed
31 meeting · sets 2–0
🇵🇱Maja Pawelska
Unranked
3Kateryna Lazarenko and Maja Pawelska have met 1 time since 2025; Kateryna Lazarenko leads 1–0. Across all meetings Lazarenko has taken 2 sets to Pawelska's 0. Their most recent meeting: Kateryna Lazarenko won at W15 Szabolcsveresmart 1 (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lazarenko | Pawelska | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kateryna Lazarenko | Maja Pawelska | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 82% | 23/28 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 3/15 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 19% | 8/43 | 18% | 2/11 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 72% | 18/25 | 100% | 2/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 54% | 7/13 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 75% | 6/8 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 25/27 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 85% | 23/27 | 100% | 6/6 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Lazarenko 1, Pawelska 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Lazarenko
👑 The Complete Package
Pawelska
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 67% vs 🧱 The Wall across 961 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Kateryna Lazarenko.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Nov 7, 2025
W15 Szabolcsveresmart 1
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Lazarenko | Pawelska |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 11–2 | 2–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.19 | 3.47 |
| ROI % | +78.0% | +92.7% |
| Units P/L | +10.15u | +2.78u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Lazarenko | Pawelska |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 11 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | KAZ → SUI → TUN | ESP |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yelyzaveta Kotliar
W35 Lagos · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Paula Cembranos
W35 Lagos · 1st Round
Oct 6
Juliana Giaccio
W35 Baza · 1st Round
Sep 30
Valentina Abril Bruno
W35 Baza · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Laura Rabasco Segura
W35 Baza · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Charo Esquiva Banuls
W50 Yecla · Semifinals
Sep 26
Nahia Berecoechea
W50 Yecla · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Emily Appleton
W50 Yecla · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Alesia Breaz
W15 Szekesfehervar · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Gala Ivanovic
W15 Szekesfehervar · 1st Round
Oct 7
Simona Wirglerova
W15 Szekesfehervar · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Patricia Bordas
W15 Szekesfehervar · 2nd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Weronika Ewald
W35 Bolszewo · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Izabela Heinzova
W35 Bolszewo · 1st Round
Jun 17
Kristina Kroitor
W15 Sharm ElSheikh 3 · 2nd Round
Feb 12
Inka Wawrzkiewicz
W15 Sharm ElSheikh 3 · 1st Round
Feb 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 11–43 matches
| Metric | Lazarenko | Pawelska |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 64% |
| Sets won | 63% | 63% |
| Games won | 54% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Lazarenko | Pawelska |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Lazarenko | Pawelska |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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