Katarzyna Kawa vs Valentina Mediorreal AriasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Katarzyna Kawa
#129 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
4w31 meeting · sets 2–0
🇨🇴Valentina Mediorreal Arias
#864 · 19 yrs · Right-Handed
3Katarzyna Kawa and Valentina Mediorreal Arias have met 1 time since 2025; Katarzyna Kawa leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kawa has taken 2 sets to Arias's 0. Their most recent meeting: Katarzyna Kawa won at Copa Colsanitas - Bogota (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kawa | Mediorreal Arias | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katarzyna Kawa | Valentina Mediorreal Arias | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 72% | 18/25 | 70% | 7/10 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 6/21 | 20% | 5/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 13/46 | 23% | 8/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 12/18 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 14/27 | 38% | 9/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 4/6 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 88% | 7/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 72% | 18/25 | 88% | 7/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kawa 1, Mediorreal Arias 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kawa
🪃 Counterpuncher
Arias
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 69% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 2,396 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Katarzyna Kawa.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 1, 2025
Copa Colsanitas - Bogota
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kawa | Arias | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katarzyna Kawa | Valentina Mediorreal Arias | ||
| 1 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 3 or more | 33% | 4/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 5 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kawa | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–6 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.02 | 3.62 |
| ROI % | +19.5% | -58.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.93u | -4.06u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kawa | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 2 | 2 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | KAZ | SRB |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kawa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Arias's 0%).
| Opponent | Kawa | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Tatjana Maria | W 63 63 | L 26 16 |
| Despina Papamichail | W 61 63 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Justina Mikulskyte
Polish Open - Warsaw · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Linda Fruhvirtova
Polish Open - Warsaw · 1st Round
Aug 3
Paula Badosa
MSC Hamburg Ladies Open - Hamburg · 1st Round
Jul 22
Panna Udvardy
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Simona Waltert
UniCredit Iasi Open - Iasi · 1st Round
Jul 14
Simona Waltert
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 6
Kayla Day
Wimbledon
Jun 25
Lucrezia Stefanini
Wimbledon
Jun 24
Romina Ccuno
W35 Barueri · 1st Round
Aug 26
Lourdes Ayala
W35 Chacabuco · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daria Egorova
W35 Pergamino · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Polina Kaibekova
W35 Pergamino · 1st Round
Jul 29
Alicia Reichel
Sao Paulo 4 ITF
Jul 13
Ana Candiotto
W15 Rio Claro · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Manuela Ferreira Banietti
W15 Rio Claro · 1st Round
Jul 7
Chiara Di Genova
W15 Asuncion · 1st Round
Jun 23
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–46 matches
| Metric | Kawa | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 29% |
| Sets won | 53% | 32% |
| Games won | 52% | 41% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kawa | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kawa | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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