Katarzyna Kawa vs Valentina Mediorreal AriasPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇵🇱Katarzyna Kawa
#127 · 33 yrs · Right-Handed
1 meeting · sets 2–0
🇨🇴Valentina Mediorreal Arias
#843 · 19 yrs · Right-Handed
5wKatarzyna Kawa and Valentina Mediorreal Arias have met 1 time since 2025; Katarzyna Kawa leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kawa has taken 2 sets to Arias's 0. Their most recent meeting: Katarzyna Kawa won at Copa Colsanitas - Bogota (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kawa | Mediorreal Arias | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Katarzyna Kawa | Valentina Mediorreal Arias | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 19/27 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 32% | 9/28 | 21% | 5/24 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 31% | 17/55 | 24% | 8/33 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 59% | 13/22 | 43% | 3/7 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 53% | 17/32 | 35% | 8/23 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 56% | 5/9 | 57% | 4/7 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 80% | 24/30 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 63% | 19/30 | 86% | 6/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kawa 1, Mediorreal Arias 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kawa
🪃 Counterpuncher
Arias
⚙️ Grinder
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 66% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 3,088 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Katarzyna Kawa.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Apr 1, 2025
Copa Colsanitas - Bogota
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kawa | Arias | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Katarzyna Kawa | Valentina Mediorreal Arias | ||
| 1 or more | 89% | 8/9 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 5/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 22% | 2/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/9 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kawa | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–7 | 2–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.19 | 7.39 |
| ROI % | -49.9% | -57.7% |
| Units P/L | -4.99u | -4.04u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kawa | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | ROU | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Kawa has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Arias's 0%).
| Opponent | Kawa | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Tatjana Maria | W 63 63 | L 26 16 |
| Despina Papamichail | W 61 63 | L 26 26 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Daria Snigur
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Sep 30
Valeria Savinykh
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 29
Rinko Matsuda
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Maria Garcia Cid
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · 1st Round
Sep 14
Eva Bennemann
ATIK Antalya Open - Antalya · 1st Round
Sep 8
Ekaterine Gorgodze
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Eva Lys
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Justina Mikulskyte
Polish Open - Warsaw · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Anna Blinkova
Kia Open - Barranquilla · 1st Round
Sep 9
Ana Sofia Sanchez
W15 Porto Velho · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Gabriela Kawano Cho
W15 Porto Velho · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Romina Ccuno
W35 Barueri · 1st Round
Aug 26
Lourdes Ayala
W35 Chacabuco · 1st Round
Aug 4
Daria Egorova
W35 Pergamino · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Polina Kaibekova
W35 Pergamino · 1st Round
Jul 29
Maria Carolina Ferreira Turchetto
W35 Sao Paulo · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 33–55 matches
| Metric | Kawa | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 27% |
| Sets won | 50% | 31% |
| Games won | 50% | 40% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kawa | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| WTA 250 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kawa | Arias |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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