Head-to-Head

Karl Poling vs Moez EcharguiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇺🇸Karl Poling

#457 · 27 yrs · L

3Beat 3 favorites

0–0

First meeting

🇹🇳Moez Echargui

#215 · 33 yrs · R

3Beat 3 favorites

Upcoming match

Tournament: St. Tropez Challenger
Level: ATP Challenger Tour
Round: 3rd Round Qualifying
Surface: Hard
Date & time: September 21 · 5:30 AM ET

Book odds

Moez Echargui1.211.24

Karl Poling4.073.76

Set spread

Echargui -1.51.79

Poling +1.51.90

Game spread

Echargui -4.52.02

Poling +4.51.70

EcharguiHard-court specialist (69%)PolingHard-court specialist (84%)

Record at prices like this

Moez Echargui1.24implies 84%won 100%+16 pts

At 1.24 or shorter, Moez Echargui has won 16 of 16 (100%). The price implied 84%, so Moez Echargui has beaten it by 16 points.

Karl Poling3.76implies 19%won 33%+14 pts

At 3.76 or longer, Karl Poling has won 6 of 18 (33%). The price implied 19%, so Karl Poling has beaten it by 14 points.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Karl Poling and Moez Echargui meet next at the St. Tropez Challenger on September 21 on hard.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Poling	Echargui
Indicator	Karl Poling		Moez Echargui
Wins in straight sets	58%	21/36	59%	10/17
Wins a set when losing	40%	14/35	41%	15/37
Goes to a deciding set	41%	29/71	41%	22/54
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	44%	11/25	46%	6/13
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	63%	26/41	54%	21/39
Tiebreak sets won	39%	13/33	59%	16/27
Wins after taking set 1	80%	28/35	62%	13/21
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	60%	21/35	48%	10/21

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Poling

🎾 All-Court

Tactical versatilityNet approach abilitySurface adaptabilityWell-rounded game

Echargui

💥 Big Hitter

Power groundstrokesHigh winner countAggressive shotsShort rallies

Matchup analysis

🎾 All-Court vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 626 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Poling and Echargui have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Poling	Echargui
Outcome	Karl Poling		Moez Echargui
1 or more	70%	7/10	100%	11/11
3 or more	40%	4/10	73%	8/11
5 or more	0%	0/10	55%	6/11
10 or more	0%	0/10	0%	0/11
15 or more	0%	0/10	0%	0/11
20 or more	0%	0/10	0%	0/11

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Poling	Echargui
W-L	11–8	7–10
Avg odds	2.19	2.95
ROI %	-2.1%	-2.2%
Units P/L	-0.41u	-0.37u

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Poling	Echargui
Countries	2	4
Events	3	5
Matches	3	8
Distance	5,142 mi · 8,276 km	5,819 mi · 9,365 km
Route	JAM → FRA	MEX → USA → ESP → FRA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Poling

WLLLWWWW

Yanis Ghazouani Durand

St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

Sep 20

Nikola Slavic

Rennes Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

6⁵7

76⁶

6⁵7

Sep 13

Thomas Fancutt

Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round

Aug 25

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

Aug 17

Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes

M25 East Lansing · Final

76⁵

Aug 16

Nikita Filin

M25 East Lansing · Semifinals

76⁴

Aug 15

Axel Nefve

M25 East Lansing · Quarterfinals

76¹

Aug 14

Thomas Fancutt

M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round

76⁷

Aug 13

Echargui

WLWWLLLW

Luca Potenza

St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

6³7

Sep 20

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer

Cassis Challenger · Quarterfinals

76²

Sep 11

Billy Harris

Cassis Challenger · 2nd Round

76²

Sep 10

Lucas Poullain

Cassis Challenger · 1st Round

Sep 7

Jack Pinnington Jones

Manacor Challenger · 1st Round

Sep 1

Hugo Dellien

U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying

Aug 26

Hubert Hurkacz

Cancun Challenger · Semifinals

Aug 23

Moise Kouame

Cancun Challenger · Quarterfinals

76⁵

Aug 22

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 55–71 matches

Metric	Poling	Echargui
Matches won	51%	31%
Sets won	50%	37%
Games won	51%	46%

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