Karl Poling vs Matt KuharPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Karl Poling and Matt Kuhar have met 2 times since 2024; Karl Poling leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Manzanillo Challenger in 2024 on hard. On hard courts Poling leads 2–0. Poling has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Poling has taken 4 sets to Kuhar's 1. Their most recent meeting: Karl Poling won at Granby challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Poling | Kuhar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karl Poling | Matt Kuhar | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 19/34 | 59% | 10/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 11/31 | 35% | 11/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 26/65 | 38% | 18/48 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 10/24 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 22/36 | 43% | 12/28 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 12/28 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 63% | 12/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 19/31 | 53% | 10/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Poling 1, Kuhar 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Poling
🛡️ The Spoiler
Kuhar
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The ⚔️ The Gladiator archetype wins about 54% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 288 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Matt Kuhar.
The Gladiator players often use physical intensity and balanced game to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 12, 2026
Granby challenger
H Hard
Nov 26, 2024
Manzanillo Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Poling | Kuhar | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karl Poling | Matt Kuhar | ||
| 1 or more | 69% | 11/16 | 67% | 4/6 |
| 3 or more | 31% | 5/16 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 17% | 1/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Poling | Kuhar |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 1–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.35 | 2.68 |
| ROI % | +71.0% | -86.9% |
| Units P/L | +13.50u | -6.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Poling | Kuhar |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 6 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | USA → JAM | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Poling and Kuhar posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Poling | Kuhar |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Alejandro Hernandez | L 57 46 | W 63 63 |
| Quinn Vandecasteele | W 76 64 | L 26 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Thomas Fancutt
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
M25 East Lansing · Final
Aug 16
Nikita Filin
M25 East Lansing · Semifinals
Aug 15
Axel Nefve
M25 East Lansing · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Thomas Fancutt
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Jesse Flores
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Kenta Miyoshi
Granby challenger
Jul 13
Matt Kuhar
Granby challenger
Jul 12
Matthew Thomson
M15 Huamantla · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
M15 Huamantla · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Jesse Ruder-Hook
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 29
Jesse Ruder-Hook
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 29
Karl Poling
Granby challenger
Jul 12
Maxwell Exsted
M15 Claremont · 1st Round
Jun 24
Neo Niedner
Futures 2026
Jun 17
Neo Niedner
M15 Irvine · 1st Round
Jun 17
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 48–65 matches
| Metric | Poling | Kuhar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 35% |
| Sets won | 51% | 39% |
| Games won | 50% | 46% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Poling | Kuhar |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Poling | Kuhar |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 0 |
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