Karl Poling vs Kenta MiyoshiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Karl Poling and Kenta Miyoshi have met 2 times since 2026; Kenta Miyoshi leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at M25 Laval in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Miyoshi leads 2–0. Miyoshi has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Poling has taken 1 sets to Miyoshi's 4. Their most recent meeting: Kenta Miyoshi won at Granby challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Poling | Miyoshi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Karl Poling | Kenta Miyoshi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 19/34 | 79% | 22/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 35% | 11/31 | 31% | 4/13 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 26/65 | 24% | 10/41 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 10/24 | 53% | 16/30 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 61% | 22/36 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 12/28 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 26/31 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 61% | 19/31 | 81% | 22/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Poling 0, Miyoshi 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Poling
🛡️ The Spoiler
Miyoshi
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 65 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Kenta Miyoshi.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 13, 2026
Granby challenger
H Hard
Jul 11, 2026
M25 Laval
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Poling | Miyoshi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Karl Poling | Kenta Miyoshi | ||
| 1 or more | 67% | 10/15 | 100% | 25/25 |
| 3 or more | 27% | 4/15 | 64% | 16/25 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 48% | 12/25 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 8% | 2/25 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/25 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/25 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Poling | Miyoshi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 13–5 | 20–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.35 | 1.46 |
| ROI % | +67.3% | -1.7% |
| Units P/L | +12.11u | -0.50u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Poling | Miyoshi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 6 | 5 |
| Distance | — | 6,189 mi · 9,961 km |
| Route | USA → JAM | TUR → JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Poling and Miyoshi posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Poling | Miyoshi |
|---|---|---|
| Blaise Bicknell | W 75 75 | L 16 67 |
| Juan Alejandro Hernandez | L 57 46 | W 62 63 |
| Quinn Vandecasteele | W 76 64 | W 63 75 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Thomas Fancutt
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
M25 East Lansing · Final
Aug 16
Nikita Filin
M25 East Lansing · Semifinals
Aug 15
Axel Nefve
M25 East Lansing · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Thomas Fancutt
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Jesse Flores
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Kenta Miyoshi
Granby challenger
Jul 13
Matt Kuhar
Granby challenger
Jul 12
Joel Schwaerzler
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Clement Chidekh
Kingston 1 Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 19
Lucas Poullain
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Mert Alkaya
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Arda Azkara
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine
Samsun Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 1
Vadym Ursu
Samsun Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 31
Dan Added
Samsun Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–65 matches
| Metric | Poling | Miyoshi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 68% |
| Sets won | 51% | 65% |
| Games won | 50% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Poling | Miyoshi |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
| ITF M25 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Poling | Miyoshi |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 2 |
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