Kamilla Rakhimova vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇿Kamilla Rakhimova
#69 · 24 yrs · Right-Handed
3 meetings · sets 2–5
🇩🇪Tatjana Maria
#71 · 38 yrs · Right-Handed
4TitleKamilla Rakhimova and Tatjana Maria have met 3 times since 2022; Tatjana Maria leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Copa Colsanitas - Bogota in 2022 on clay. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rakhimova leading those 1–0. Across all meetings Rakhimova has taken 2 sets to Maria's 5. Their most recent meeting: Tatjana Maria won at The HSBC Championships - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rakhimova | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kamilla Rakhimova | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 57% | 16/28 | 94% | 30/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 10/30 | 29% | 8/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 22/58 | 17% | 10/60 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 12/26 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 16/31 | 45% | 14/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 37% | 7/19 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 22/25 | 86% | 31/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 64% | 16/25 | 83% | 30/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rakhimova 0, Maria 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rakhimova
🎾 All-Court
Maria
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 🎾 All-Court across 952 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Tatjana Maria.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the all-court's tactical versatility.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 7, 2026
The HSBC Championships - London
G Grass · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7, 2024
Guadalajara 125 Open - Guadalajara
H Hard · Final
Apr 9, 2022
Copa Colsanitas - Bogota
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rakhimova | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kamilla Rakhimova | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 12/15 | 100% | 12/12 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 58% | 7/12 |
| 5 or more | 20% | 3/15 | 42% | 5/12 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 8% | 1/12 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/15 | 0% | 0/12 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Rakhimova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–8 | 8–5 |
| Avg odds | 2.92 | 2.04 |
| ROI % | +3.7% | -6.7% |
| Units P/L | +0.63u | -0.87u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rakhimova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 5 |
| Distance | 1,246 mi · 2,005 km | — |
| Route | POR → ROU → CZE | UKR → TUR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Maria has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Rakhimova's 40%).
| Opponent | Rakhimova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Iva Jovic | L 16 57 | L 16 26 |
| Katie Volynets | L 36 06 | W 62 64 |
| Leolia Jeanjean | W 64 46 62 | W 76 64 |
| Maria Sakkari | L 26 75 16 | W 63 63 |
| Kimberly Birrell | W 62 62 | L 46 63 57 |
| Venus Williams | W 64 61 | W 64 63 |
| Talia Gibson | L 36 46 | W 60 63 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 46 46 | L 26 06 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 26 46 | L 36 06 |
| Anna Bondar | W 63 75 | L 67 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Han Shi
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Sofia Kenin
Wuhan Open - Wuhan · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 10
Iva Jovic
China Open - Beijing · 3rd Round
Oct 5
Leylah Fernandez
China Open - Beijing · 2nd Round
Oct 3
Marina Bassols Ribera
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round
Oct 1
Katie Volynets
Korea Open - Seoul · 2nd Round
Sep 23
Polina Kudermetova
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round
Sep 21
Aryna Sabalenka
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round
Sep 4
Madison Brengle
W100 Templeton · Final
Oct 4
Malaika Rapolu
W100 Templeton · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Lea Ma
W100 Templeton · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Lucciana Perez Alarcon
W100 Templeton · 1st Round
Sep 30
Taylor Townsend
Guadalajara Open Akron - Guadalajara · 1st Round
Sep 14
Nikola Bartunkova
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jelena Ostapenko
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 15
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–60 matches
| Metric | Rakhimova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 48% | 53% |
| Sets won | 48% | 55% |
| Games won | 51% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rakhimova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rakhimova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.