Kamilla Rakhimova vs Tatjana MariaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

πΊπΏKamilla Rakhimova
#88 Β· 24 yrs Β· Right-Handed
33 meetings Β· sets 2β5

π©πͺTatjana Maria
#79 Β· 38 yrs Β· Right-Handed
Kamilla Rakhimova and Tatjana Maria have met 3 times since 2022; Tatjana Maria leads 2β1. Their first meeting came at Copa Colsanitas - Bogota in 2022 on clay. 1 of their meetings has been a final, with Rakhimova leading those 1β0. Across all meetings Rakhimova has taken 2 sets to Maria's 5. Their most recent meeting: Tatjana Maria won at Queen's Club (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Rakhimova | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kamilla Rakhimova | Tatjana Maria | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 10/17 | 97% | 29/30 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 8/24 | 23% | 7/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 15/41 | 13% | 8/60 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 50% | 8/16 | 81% | 21/26 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 52% | 13/25 | 39% | 13/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 50% | 5/10 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 92% | 12/13 | 88% | 30/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 77% | 10/13 | 85% | 29/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Rakhimova 0, Maria 2).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Rakhimova
πΎ All-Court
Maria
π₯ Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
πΎ All-Court vs π₯ Big Hitter is historically tight (49% vs 51%, 958 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 7, 2026
Queen's Club
G Grass
Sep 7, 2024
Guadalajara 125 Open - Guadalajara
H Hard Β· Final
Apr 9, 2022
Copa Colsanitas - Bogota
C Clay Β· Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Rakhimova | Maria | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kamilla Rakhimova | Tatjana Maria | ||
| 1 or more | 86% | 6/7 | 91% | 21/23 |
| 3 or more | 29% | 2/7 | 61% | 14/23 |
| 5 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 9% | 2/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Rakhimova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5β6 | 17β8 |
| Avg odds | 2.58 | 2.01 |
| ROI % | -22.0% | +8.1% |
| Units P/L | -2.42u | +2.03u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Rakhimova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 3 |
| Distance | 411 mi Β· 662 km | 411 mi Β· 662 km |
| Route | CAN β POL | CAN β POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Rakhimova has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Maria's 25%).
| Opponent | Rakhimova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Maria Sakkari | L 26 75 16 | W 63 63 |
| Kimberly Birrell | W 62 62 | L 46 63 57 |
| Venus Williams | W 64 61 | W 64 63 |
| Iva Jovic | L 16 61 16 | L 16 26 |
| Sorana Cirstea | L 46 46 | L 26 06 |
| Marta Kostyuk | L 26 46 | L 36 06 |
| Suzan Lamens | W 57 61 64 | L 46 16 |
| Anna Bondar | W 63 75 | L 67 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maria Sakkari
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 16
Kimberly Birrell
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Jessica Pegula
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round
Aug 6
Venus Williams
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 2
Maria Sakkari
Wimbledon - London Β· 2nd Round
Jul 2
Anhelina Kalinina
Wimbledon - London Β· 1st Round
Jun 30
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Eastbourne
Jun 20
Emma Raducanu
The HSBC Championships - London Β· Quarterfinals
Jun 13
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 2nd Round
Aug 15
Dayana Yastremska
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 13
Caty Mcnally
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 1st Round
Aug 4
Renata Zarazua
The Memphis Classic - Memphis Β· 2nd Round
Jul 30
Talia Gibson
The Memphis Classic - Memphis Β· 1st Round
Jul 28
Katie Volynets
Hall of Fame Open - Newport Β· Final
Jul 12
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Hall of Fame Open - Newport Β· Semifinals
Jul 11
Lucrezia Stefanini
Hall of Fame Open - Newport Β· Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 41β60 matches
| Metric | Rakhimova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 41% | 50% |
| Sets won | 43% | 52% |
| Games won | 49% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Rakhimova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Finals | 1 | 0 |
| WTA 500 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 250 | 0 | 1 |
| WTA 125 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Rakhimova | Maria |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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