Kaito Uesugi vs Luca PotenzaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kaito Uesugi and Luca Potenza have met 1 time since 2026; Luca Potenza leads 1–0. Across all meetings Uesugi has taken 0 sets to Potenza's 2. Their most recent meeting: Luca Potenza won at Targu Mures Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Uesugi | Potenza | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kaito Uesugi | Luca Potenza | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 1/2 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 3/8 | 39% | 12/31 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 4/10 | 41% | 24/59 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 1/1 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 50% | 15/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 33% | 7/21 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 40% | 2/5 | 72% | 23/32 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 20% | 1/5 | 50% | 16/32 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Uesugi 0, Potenza 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Uesugi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Potenza
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
Both Kaito Uesugi and Luca Potenza are 🪃 Counterpuncher types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 5,190 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 22, 2026
Targu Mures Challenger
C Clay · 3rd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Uesugi | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | 7–7 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 2.57 |
| ROI % | -54.7% | +24.6% |
| Units P/L | -1.64u | +3.44u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Uesugi | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 793 mi · 1,276 km |
| Route | — | FRA → POR |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yuquan Jin
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Alexander Binda
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Ji Sung Nam
Shanghai Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Koki Matsuda
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Luca Potenza
Targu Mures Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Maxime Janvier
Targu Mures Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Yuta Kikuchi
Yokohama · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 16
Uisung Park
Taipei · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 2
Enrico Dalla Valle
Palermo Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 30
Lui Maxted
Porto Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Porto Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Moez Echargui
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Finn Bass
Rennes Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Inaki Montes-De La Torre
Manacor Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 5
Edas Butvilas
Manacor Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–59 matches
| Metric | Uesugi | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 20% | 47% |
| Sets won | 29% | 48% |
| Games won | 45% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Uesugi | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Uesugi | Potenza |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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