Kaito Uesugi vs Koki MatsudaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Kaito Uesugi and Koki Matsuda have met 1 time since 2026; Koki Matsuda leads 1–0. Across all meetings Uesugi has taken 1 sets to Matsuda's 2. Their most recent meeting: Koki Matsuda won at Zhangjiagang Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Uesugi | Matsuda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kaito Uesugi | Koki Matsuda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 1/2 | 73% | 30/41 |
| Wins a set when losing | 38% | 3/8 | 38% | 10/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 40% | 4/10 | 31% | 21/67 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 1/1 | 55% | 21/38 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 38% | 3/8 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 43% | 3/7 | 82% | 23/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 40% | 2/5 | 85% | 34/40 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 20% | 1/5 | 75% | 30/40 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Uesugi 0, Matsuda 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Uesugi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matsuda
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 55% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 3,438 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Koki Matsuda.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Aug 30, 2026
Zhangjiagang Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Uesugi | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–2 | 9–9 |
| Avg odds | 2.31 | 2.06 |
| ROI % | -54.7% | -7.8% |
| Units P/L | -1.64u | -1.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Uesugi | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | 1,420 mi · 2,285 km |
| Route | — | VIE → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yuquan Jin
Jinan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Alexander Binda
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Ji Sung Nam
Shanghai Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Koki Matsuda
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 30
Luca Potenza
Targu Mures Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jun 22
Maxime Janvier
Targu Mures Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 21
Yuta Kikuchi
Yokohama · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 16
Uisung Park
Taipei · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 2
Evan Zhu
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Keisuke Saitoh
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Arthur Weber
Phan Thiet 4 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Philip Sekulic
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 11
Martin Borisiouk
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Jake Delaney
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 1
Fanming Meng
Zhangjiagang Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 10–68 matches
| Metric | Uesugi | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 20% | 62% |
| Sets won | 29% | 59% |
| Games won | 45% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Uesugi | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Uesugi | Matsuda |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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