Kaitlyn Carnicella vs Monika EkstrandPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Kaitlyn Carnicella
Unranked
10w32 meetings · sets 2–3
🇺🇸Monika Ekstrand
#841 · 19 yrs · Right-Handed
4wKaitlyn Carnicella and Monika Ekstrand have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Rolling Hills Estates ITF in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1–1. Across all meetings Carnicella has taken 2 sets to Ekstrand's 3. Their most recent meeting: Monika Ekstrand won at Irvine ITF (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carnicella | Ekstrand | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kaitlyn Carnicella | Monika Ekstrand | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 7/10 | 91% | 10/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 5/15 | 22% | 5/23 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 4/6 | 47% | 8/17 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 1/1 | 100% | 6/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 7/8 | 79% | 11/14 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 88% | 7/8 | 71% | 10/14 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carnicella 0, Ekstrand 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carnicella
🧱 The Wall
Ekstrand
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 👑 The Complete Package archetype wins about 65% vs 🧱 The Wall across 902 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Monika Ekstrand.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 20, 2026
Irvine ITF
H Hard · Semifinals
Jun 13, 2026
Rolling Hills Estates ITF
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carnicella | Ekstrand | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kaitlyn Carnicella | Monika Ekstrand | ||
| 1 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 92% | 12/13 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 54% | 7/13 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 15% | 2/13 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carnicella | Ekstrand |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–3 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.63 | 1.65 |
| ROI % | +58.1% | -16.9% |
| Units P/L | +6.39u | -2.70u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carnicella | Ekstrand |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 2 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | NED |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Carnicella and Ekstrand posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Carnicella | Ekstrand |
|---|---|---|
| Alina Shcherbinina | L 06 76 57 | L 26 46 |
| Maria Aytoyan | W 61 75 | W 75 36 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Monika Ekstrand
Irvine ITF · Semifinals
Jun 20
Veronica Miroshnichenko
Irvine ITF · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Maria Aytoyan
Irvine ITF · Round of 16
Jun 18
Alina Shcherbinina
Rolling Hills Estates ITF · Final
Jun 14
Monika Ekstrand
Rolling Hills Estates ITF · Semifinals
Jun 13
Lily Taylor
Rolling Hills Estates ITF · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Rachel Gailis
Rolling Hills Estates ITF · Round of 16
Jun 11
Salma Ziouti
Rolling Hills Estates ITF
Jun 9
Brooke Black
W35 Roehampton · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Katarina Kuzmova
W35 Roehampton · 1st Round
Aug 4
Hannah Klugman
W35 Aldershot · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Alice Gillan
W35 Aldershot · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jia Jing Lu
W50 Columbus · 1st Round
Jul 8
Jiaxi Lu
Columbus ITF · Round of 32
Jul 8
Ariana Arseneault
W35 Rome · 1st Round
Jun 24
Kaitlyn Carnicella
Irvine ITF · Semifinals
Jun 20
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–23 matches
| Metric | Carnicella | Ekstrand |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 48% |
| Sets won | 63% | 51% |
| Games won | 53% | 49% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carnicella | Ekstrand |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carnicella | Ekstrand |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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