Kaitlyn Carnicella vs Mayu CrossleyPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇺🇸Kaitlyn Carnicella
Unranked
10w31 meeting · sets 0–2
🇯🇵Mayu Crossley
#750 · 19 yrs · Right-Handed
4wKaitlyn Carnicella and Mayu Crossley have met 1 time since 2026; Mayu Crossley leads 1–0. Across all meetings Carnicella has taken 0 sets to Crossley's 2. Their most recent meeting: Mayu Crossley won at W15 Lakewood CA (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Carnicella | Crossley | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Kaitlyn Carnicella | Mayu Crossley | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 7/10 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 5/15 | 26% | 5/19 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 4/6 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 6/8 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 1/1 | 67% | 2/3 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 7/8 | 92% | 11/12 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 88% | 7/8 | 83% | 10/12 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Carnicella 0, Crossley 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Carnicella
🧱 The Wall
Crossley
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🪃 Counterpuncher archetype wins about 60% vs 🧱 The Wall across 2,733 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mayu Crossley.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 4, 2026
W15 Lakewood CA
H Hard · Round of 16
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Carnicella | Crossley | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Kaitlyn Carnicella | Mayu Crossley | ||
| 1 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 47% | 7/15 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/2 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Carnicella | Crossley |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–3 | 9–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.63 | 1.49 |
| ROI % | +58.1% | +3.8% |
| Units P/L | +6.39u | +0.45u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Carnicella | Crossley |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 2 |
| Events | — | 2 |
| Matches | — | 3 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | — | POR → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Monika Ekstrand
Irvine ITF · Semifinals
Jun 20
Veronica Miroshnichenko
Irvine ITF · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Maria Aytoyan
Irvine ITF · Round of 16
Jun 18
Alina Shcherbinina
Rolling Hills Estates ITF · Final
Jun 14
Monika Ekstrand
Rolling Hills Estates ITF · Semifinals
Jun 13
Lily Taylor
Rolling Hills Estates ITF · Quarterfinals
Jun 12
Rachel Gailis
Rolling Hills Estates ITF · Round of 16
Jun 11
Salma Ziouti
Rolling Hills Estates ITF
Jun 9
Annika Penickova
W35 Southaven · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Fangran Tian
W35 Southaven · 1st Round
Aug 5
Piper Charney
W35 Florence · Semifinals
Aug 1
Antonia Vergara Rivera
W35 Florence · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Claire Hill
W35 Florence · 1st Round
Jul 29
Malaika Rapolu
W35 Santa Fe · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Jo Yee Chan
W35 Santa Fe · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon
W35 Santa Fe · 1st Round
Jul 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–19 matches
| Metric | Carnicella | Crossley |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 68% |
| Sets won | 63% | 65% |
| Games won | 53% | 58% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Carnicella | Crossley |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W15 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Carnicella | Crossley |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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