Julia Avdeeva vs Mariella ThammPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇷🇺Julia Avdeeva
#185 · 23 yrs · Right-Handed
2 meetings · sets 2–2
🇩🇪Mariella Thamm
Unranked · 16 yrs · Right-Handed
10wJulia Avdeeva and Mariella Thamm have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at W35 Horb in 2025 on clay. Across all meetings Avdeeva has taken 2 sets to Thamm's 2. Their most recent meeting: Julia Avdeeva won at W75 Altenkirchen (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Avdeeva | Thamm | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Julia Avdeeva | Mariella Thamm | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 76% | 26/34 | 89% | 8/9 |
| Wins a set when losing | 19% | 4/21 | 0% | 0/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 22% | 12/55 | 7% | 1/15 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 62% | 24/39 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 21% | 3/14 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 10/20 | 0% | 0/2 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 91% | 30/33 | 100% | 9/9 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 79% | 26/33 | 89% | 8/9 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Avdeeva 1, Thamm 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Avdeeva
🤖 Servebot
Thamm
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 53% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,880 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Julia Avdeeva.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Feb 20, 2026
W75 Altenkirchen
? Carpet · Quarterfinals
Jul 24, 2025
W35 Horb
C Clay · Round of 16
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Avdeeva | Thamm |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–5 | 0–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.93 | 4.18 |
| ROI % | +15.0% | -100.0% |
| Units P/L | +2.25u | -1.00u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Avdeeva | Thamm |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 5 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | KAZ → BUL | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alana Smith
W35 Aldershot · Semifinals
Aug 14
Emily Appleton
W35 Aldershot · Quarterfinals
Aug 13
Hikaru Sato
W35 Aldershot · 2nd Round
Aug 12
Clara Vlasselaer
W35 Aldershot · 1st Round
Aug 11
Noma Noha Akugue
Polish Open - Warsaw · 1st Round
Aug 3
Gina Feistel
Generali Open Ladies - Kitzbuhel · 1st Round
Jul 13
Anastasiia Sobolieva
W100 Aschaffenburg · Semifinals
Jul 11
Berfu Cengiz
W100 Aschaffenburg · Quarterfinals
Jul 10
Renata Zarazua
Bad Homburg WTA
Jun 20
Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide
Bundesliga - women · -
Jun 7
Samira De Stefano
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Round of 16
Apr 16
Jessica Bertoldo
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · Round of 32
Apr 15
Julia Avdeeva
W75 Altenkirchen · Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Tessa Johanna Brockmann
W75 Altenkirchen · Round of 16
Feb 19
Lea Boskovic
W75 Altenkirchen · Round of 32
Feb 18
Ella Mcdonald
W15 Lousada · Quarterfinals
Nov 21
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 15–55 matches
| Metric | Avdeeva | Thamm |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 62% | 60% |
| Sets won | 59% | 58% |
| Games won | 52% | 55% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Avdeeva | Thamm |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W75 | 1 | 0 |
| ITF W35 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Avdeeva | Thamm |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
| Carpet | 1 | 0 |
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