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Tournament
RoveretOpen Citta della Pace - Rovereto
Level
WTA 125
Round
1st Round
Surface
Hard
Date & time
October 12 ยท 4:00 AM ET

Book odds

Lisa Pigato1.35
Julia Avdeeva2.94

Set spread

Pigato -1.51.81
Avdeeva +1.51.90

Game spread

Pigato -4.51.83
Avdeeva +4.51.85
PigatoClay-court specialist (72%)

Record at prices like this

Lisa Pigato1.35implies 76%won 93%+17 pts

At 1.35 or shorter, Lisa Pigato has won 25 of 27 (93%). The price implied 76%, so Lisa Pigato has beaten it by 17 points.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Julia Avdeeva and Lisa Pigato meet next at the RoveretOpen Citta della Pace - Rovereto on October 12 on hard.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months

IndicatorAvdeevaPigato
Wins in straight sets81%69%
Wins a set when losing23%33%
Goes to a deciding set21%31%
Covers โˆ’1.5 sets as favorite62%58%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog29%79%
Tiebreak sets won56%60%
Wins after taking set 190%94%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 181%72%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Avdeeva

๐Ÿค– Servebot

High ace rateDominant serviceWeaker returnBig first serve
vs

Pigato

๐Ÿ‘‘ The Complete Package

Elite serve & returnHigh BP conversionAll-surface dominanceClutch performer

Matchup analysis

The ๐Ÿ‘‘ The Complete Package archetype wins about 54% vs ๐Ÿค– Servebot across 2,071 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Lisa Pigato.

The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the servebot's high ace rate.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Avdeeva and Pigato have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days

OutcomeAvdeevaPigato
1 or more100%46%
3 or more64%9%
5 or more27%0%
10 or more0%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days

MetricAvdeevaPigato
W-L6โ€“610โ€“1
Avg odds1.831.89
ROI %-19.8%+65.9%
Units P/L-2.38u+7.25u

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricAvdeevaPigato
Countries23
Events23
Matches310
Distanceโ€”โ€”
RoutePOL โ†’ FRAGEO โ†’ ECU โ†’ FRA

Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months

Across 7 shared opponents, both Avdeeva and Pigato posted a 57% win rate.

OpponentAvdeevaPigato
Eva Vedder
W
16
63
62
W
16
60
63
Adrienn Nagy
W
75
76
W
64
62
Noma Noha Akugue
L
26
36
L
67
36
Anastasiia Sobolieva
L
36
67
W
Alice Tubello
W
64
63
L
36
57
Diana Martynov
L
36
36
L
16
46
Kathinka Von Deichmann
W
06
62
76
W
61
62

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Avdeeva
LWWLWLWW
L

Fiona Crawley

W75 Le Neubourg ยท Quarterfinals

46
16

Sep 18

W

Hannah Klugman

W75 Le Neubourg ยท 2nd Round

64
64

Sep 17

W

Astrid Lew Yan Foon

W75 Le Neubourg ยท 1st Round

63
60

Sep 16

L

Yue Yuan

U.S. Open - New York ยท 2nd Round Qualifying

36
26

Aug 26

W

Katherine Sebov

U.S. Open - New York ยท 1st Round Qualifying

765
61

Aug 26

L

Alana Smith

W35 Aldershot ยท Semifinals

667
36

Aug 14

W

Emily Appleton

W35 Aldershot ยท Quarterfinals

63
64

Aug 13

W

Hikaru Sato

W35 Aldershot ยท 2nd Round

64
64

Aug 12

Pigato
WWWWWWWW
W

Eva Vedder

W75 Quinta do Lago ยท Final

16
60
63

Oct 4

W

Katie Swan

W75 Quinta do Lago ยท Semifinals

Oct 3

W

Polona Hercog

W75 Quinta do Lago ยท Quarterfinals

75
46
62

Oct 2

W

Adrienn Nagy

W75 Quinta do Lago ยท 2nd Round

64
62

Oct 1

W

Jasmijn Gimbrere

W75 Quinta do Lago ยท 1st Round

61
61

Sep 30

W

Gabriela Andrea Knutson

Ladies Open - Caldas da Rainha ยท Final

64
62

Sep 20

W

Jeline Vandromme

Ladies Open - Caldas da Rainha ยท Semifinals

63
75

Sep 19

W

Susan Bandecchi

Ladies Open - Caldas da Rainha ยท Quarterfinals

64
16
64

Sep 18

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 53โ€“71 matches

MetricAvdeevaPigato
Matches won58%73%
Sets won57%68%
Games won52%57%