Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Tristan McCormickPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
🇨🇴Juan Sebastian Osorio
#672 · 29 yrs · R
3 meetings · sets 4–4
🇺🇸Tristan McCormick
#656 · 27 yrs · R
Juan Sebastian Osorio and Tristan McCormick have met 3 times since 2024; Tristan McCormick leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Bogota in 2024 on clay. On clay courts McCormick leads 2–1. Across all meetings Osorio has taken 4 sets to McCormick's 4. Their most recent meeting: Juan Sebastian Osorio won at M15 Quito (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sebastian Osorio | McCormick | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Sebastian Osorio | Tristan McCormick | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 19/32 | 69% | 18/26 |
| Wins a set when losing | 48% | 10/21 | 57% | 16/28 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 23/53 | 44% | 24/54 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 8/14 | 48% | 13/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 89% | 17/19 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 7/18 | 74% | 14/19 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 71% | 20/28 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 70% | 19/27 | 64% | 18/28 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sebastian Osorio 1, McCormick 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osorio
🪃 Counterpuncher
McCormick
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs 💥 Big Hitter is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,798 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Oct 17, 2026
M15 Quito
C Clay · Quarterfinals
Apr 14, 2025
San Luis Potosi
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 5, 2024
Bogota
C Clay · 2nd Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Osorio | McCormick | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Sebastian Osorio | Tristan McCormick | ||
| 1 or more | 80% | 16/20 | 96% | 24/25 |
| 3 or more | 50% | 10/20 | 84% | 21/25 |
| 5 or more | 25% | 5/20 | 52% | 13/25 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 20% | 5/25 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 8% | 2/25 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/20 | 4% | 1/25 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osorio | McCormick |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 10–4 | 12–11 |
| Avg odds | 1.84 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | +36.1% | -7.2% |
| Units P/L | +5.05u | -1.66u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osorio | McCormick |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | BRA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
McCormick has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Osorio's 20%).
| Opponent | Osorio | McCormick |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Alejandro Hernandez | W 62 46 63 | W 67 64 76 |
| Lucas Andrade Da Silva | L 46 57 | L 46 36 |
| Victor Bini | L 26 62 67 | W 67 75 62 |
| Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez | L 36 36 | W 64 36 64 |
| Pedro Sakamoto | L 26 26 | W |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
M15 Quito · Semifinals
Oct 18
Lucas Andrade Da Silva
M15 Quito · Final
Oct 18
Tristan McCormick
M15 Quito · Quarterfinals
Oct 17
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
M15 Quito · Semifinals
Oct 17
Ryan Fishback
M15 Quito · 2nd Round
Oct 15
Mateo Del Pino
M15 Quito · 1st Round
Oct 14
Victor Bini
M15 Quito · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Tadeo Meneo
M15 Quito · 1st Round
Oct 6
Jose Pereira
Cali Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 18
Juan Sebastian Osorio
M15 Quito · Quarterfinals
Oct 17
Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi
M15 Quito · 2nd Round
Oct 16
Dakotah Bobo
M15 Quito · 1st Round
Oct 15
Victor Bini
M15 Quito · Semifinals
Oct 11
Lucas Andrade Da Silva
M15 Quito · Final
Oct 11
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
M15 Quito · Quarterfinals
Oct 10
Juan Alejandro Hernandez
M15 Quito · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 53–54 matches
| Metric | Osorio | McCormick |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 48% |
| Sets won | 57% | 52% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osorio | McCormick |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osorio | McCormick |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 2 |
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