Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Mwendwa MbithiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Juan Sebastian Osorio and Mwendwa Mbithi have met 1 time since 2026; Juan Sebastian Osorio leads 1–0. Across all meetings Osorio has taken 2 sets to Mbithi's 0. Their most recent meeting: Juan Sebastian Osorio won at M15 Quito (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sebastian Osorio | Mbithi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Sebastian Osorio | Mwendwa Mbithi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 55% | 16/29 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 50% | 10/20 | 22% | 4/18 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 47% | 23/49 | 29% | 10/35 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 54% | 7/13 | 47% | 9/19 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 89% | 17/19 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 39% | 7/18 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 21/24 | 82% | 14/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 16/24 | 65% | 11/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sebastian Osorio 1, Mbithi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osorio
🏹 Frontrunner
Mbithi
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
🏹 Frontrunner vs 👑 The Complete Package is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 411 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 2, 2026
M15 Quito
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Osorio | Mbithi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Sebastian Osorio | Mwendwa Mbithi | ||
| 1 or more | 82% | 14/17 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 3 or more | 53% | 9/17 | 88% | 7/8 |
| 5 or more | 24% | 4/17 | 50% | 4/8 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 13% | 1/8 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/17 | 0% | 0/8 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osorio | Mbithi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8–5 | 5–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.91 | 1.32 |
| ROI % | +19.7% | -13.1% |
| Units P/L | +2.56u | -0.92u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osorio | Mbithi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | BRA | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Osorio and Mbithi posted a 67% win rate.
| Opponent | Osorio | Mbithi |
|---|---|---|
| Unknown Player | W 61 62 | W 64 63 |
| Mauricio Echazu | W 62 64 | W 57 62 62 |
| Matias Soto | L 26 63 26 | L 61 46 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Victor Bini
M15 Quito · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Tadeo Meneo
M15 Quito · 1st Round
Oct 6
Samuel Heredia
Curitiba Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Unknown Player
Curitiba Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Pedro Sakamoto
M15 Curitiba · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Mauricio Echazu
M15 Curitiba · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Henrique Ortenblad Nogueira
M15 Curitiba · 1st Round
Sep 22
Nicolas Zanellato
M15 Belem · Semifinals
Sep 19
Matteo Covato
M15 Quito · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Juan Dominguez Collado
M15 Quito · 1st Round
Oct 6
Niels Peter Van Noord
M15 Huamantla · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Andres Delgadillo
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 29
Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
M15 Huamantla · Semifinals
Jul 25
Emiliano Aguilera
M15 Huamantla · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
M15 Huamantla · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Mauricio Echazu
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 21
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 35–49 matches
| Metric | Osorio | Mbithi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 59% | 49% |
| Sets won | 56% | 48% |
| Games won | 53% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osorio | Mbithi |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osorio | Mbithi |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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