Juan Sebastian Osorio vs Mwendwa MbithiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Juan Sebastian Osorio and Mwendwa Mbithi have met 1 time since 2026; Juan Sebastian Osorio leads 1–0. Across all meetings Osorio has taken 2 sets to Mbithi's 0. Their most recent meeting: Juan Sebastian Osorio won at M15 Quito (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sebastian Osorio | Mbithi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Juan Sebastian Osorio | Mwendwa Mbithi | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 45% | 10/22 | 65% | 11/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 37% | 7/19 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 19/41 | 32% | 12/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 3/7 | 50% | 9/18 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 87% | 13/15 | 50% | 8/16 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 40% | 6/15 | 56% | 5/9 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 14/17 | 79% | 15/19 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 10/17 | 58% | 11/19 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sebastian Osorio 1, Mbithi 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Osorio
⚙️ Grinder
Mbithi
🪃 Counterpuncher
Matchup analysis
⚙️ Grinder vs 🪃 Counterpuncher is historically tight (50% vs 50%, 1,208 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 2, 2026
M15 Quito
C Clay · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Osorio | Mbithi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Juan Sebastian Osorio | Mwendwa Mbithi | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 12/13 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 3 or more | 54% | 7/13 | 86% | 6/7 |
| 5 or more | 31% | 4/13 | 57% | 4/7 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/13 | 29% | 2/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 14% | 1/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/13 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Osorio | Mbithi |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–4 | 4–3 |
| Avg odds | 2.92 | 2.10 |
| ROI % | +65.9% | -29.6% |
| Units P/L | +6.59u | -2.07u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Osorio | Mbithi |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 3 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | BRA | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Osorio and Mbithi posted a 50% win rate.
| Opponent | Osorio | Mbithi |
|---|---|---|
| Matias Soto | L 26 63 26 | L 61 46 67 |
| Cristian Felipe Sanchez Rojas | W 63 63 | W 46 63 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Maximo Zeitune
M25 Londrina · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Juan Estevez
M25 Londrina · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Rafael Tosetto
M25 Londrina · 1st Round
Aug 4
Wilson Leite
M15 Sao Paulo · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Pedro Henrique Chabalgoity
M15 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 28
Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos
M25 Sao Paulo · 1st Round
Jul 21
Matias Soto
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 7
Hernan Casanova
Quito Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Niels Peter Van Noord
M15 Huamantla · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Andres Delgadillo
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 29
Alvin Nicholas Tudorica
M15 Huamantla · Semifinals
Jul 25
Emiliano Aguilera
M15 Huamantla · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
M15 Huamantla · 2nd Round
Jul 23
Mauricio Echazu
M15 Huamantla · 1st Round
Jul 21
Christopher Papa
Bogotá 5 challenger
Jul 5
Matias Soto
Quito Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 30
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 37–41 matches
| Metric | Osorio | Mbithi |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 46% |
| Sets won | 50% | 47% |
| Games won | 51% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Osorio | Mbithi |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Osorio | Mbithi |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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