Jozef Kovalik vs Pavel KotovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jozef Kovalik and Pavel Kotov have met 3 times since 2019; Jozef Kovalik leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Maia in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Kovalik leads 2–0. Across all meetings Kovalik has taken 5 sets to Kotov's 3. Their most recent meeting: Pavel Kotov won at Doha (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kovalik | Kotov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jozef Kovalik | Pavel Kotov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 73% | 8/11 | 60% | 15/25 |
| Wins a set when losing | 63% | 5/8 | 50% | 6/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 8/19 | 43% | 16/37 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 70% | 7/10 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 60% | 6/10 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 3/9 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 82% | 9/11 | 87% | 20/23 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 8/11 | 65% | 15/23 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kovalik 1, Kotov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kovalik
⚙️ Grinder
Kotov
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 55% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 1,211 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Pavel Kotov.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 15, 2025
Doha
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 22, 2023
Hamburg
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 10, 2019
Maia
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kovalik | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 2–1 | 1–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | 0.0% | -63.0% |
| Units P/L | 0.00u | -1.89u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Kovalik and Kotov posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Kovalik | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Max Schoenhaus | W 62 63 | W 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Max Schoenhaus
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Gonzalo Villanueva
Trieste challenger
Jul 5
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Futures 2026
Jun 19
Dimitar Kuzmanov
M25 Samobor · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Piotr Galus
M25 Samobor · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Javier Barranco Cosano
M25 Samobor · 1st Round
Jun 16
Javier Barranco Cosano
Futures 2026
Jun 16
Andrej Martin
Kosice Challenger · 1st Round
May 26
Daniel Elahi Galan
Bonn Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 28
Franco Ribero
Royan Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Marco Trungelliti
Lyon Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 9
Guy Den Ouden
Bad Rappenau Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 1
Cezar Cretu
Chisinau Challenger · 2nd Round
May 28
Gauthier Onclin
Chisinau Challenger · 1st Round
May 26
Mikhail Kukushkin
Gwangju Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 21
Yi Zhou
Renault Busan Open Tennis Championships · Round of 32
Apr 14
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 19–37 matches
| Metric | Kovalik | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 58% | 68% |
| Sets won | 59% | 62% |
| Games won | 54% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kovalik | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kovalik | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
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