Jozef Kovalik vs Pavel KotovPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jozef Kovalik and Pavel Kotov have met 3 times since 2019; Jozef Kovalik leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at Maia in 2019 on clay. On clay courts Kovalik leads 2–0. Across all meetings Kovalik has taken 5 sets to Kotov's 3. Their most recent meeting: Pavel Kotov won at Doha (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kovalik | Kotov | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jozef Kovalik | Pavel Kotov | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 2/4 | 56% | 18/32 |
| Wins a set when losing | 40% | 2/5 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 44% | 4/9 | 43% | 19/44 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 1/3 | 45% | 13/29 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 2/7 | 76% | 19/25 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 89% | 24/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 2/3 | 67% | 18/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kovalik 1, Kotov 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kovalik
⚙️ Grinder
Kotov
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 720 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Pavel Kotov.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Feb 15, 2025
Doha
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 22, 2023
Hamburg
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 10, 2019
Maia
C Clay · Round of 32
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kovalik | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1–1 | 11–5 |
| Avg odds | 1.96 | 2.17 |
| ROI % | -20.0% | +24.1% |
| Units P/L | -0.40u | +3.86u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kovalik | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 3 |
| Matches | — | 11 |
| Distance | — | 1,797 mi · 2,892 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Kovalik and Kotov posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Kovalik | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Max Schoenhaus | W 62 63 | W 64 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mili Poljicak
San Marino Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Gabriele Piraino
San Marino Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 26
Max Schoenhaus
Bundesliga - men
Jul 10
Gonzalo Villanueva
Trieste Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 5
Dimitar Kuzmanov
M25 Samobor · Quarterfinals
Jun 19
Piotr Galus
M25 Samobor · 2nd Round
Jun 18
Javier Barranco Cosano
M25 Samobor · 1st Round
Jun 16
Andrej Martin
Kosice Challenger · 1st Round
May 26
Arthur Fils
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 2nd Round
Oct 10
Tallon Griekspoor
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round
Oct 8
Aleksandar Vukic
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Martin Damm
Shanghai Rolex Masters - Shanghai · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Shintaro Mochizuki
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 23
Luca Castelnuovo
Chengdu Open - Chengdu · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 22
Marat Sharipov
Guangzhou Challenger · Final
Sep 20
Bernard Tomic
Guangzhou Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 19
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 9–44 matches
| Metric | Kovalik | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 44% | 73% |
| Sets won | 45% | 64% |
| Games won | 49% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kovalik | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| ATP 500 | 1 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kovalik | Kotov |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
| Clay | 2 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.