Jordan Thompson vs Kei NishikoriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jordan Thompson and Kei Nishikori have met 4 times since 2017; Kei Nishikori leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Brisbane in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Nishikori leads 3–0. Nishikori has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Thompson has taken 3 sets to Nishikori's 7. Their most recent meeting: Kei Nishikori won at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Thompson | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jordan Thompson | Kei Nishikori | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 5/6 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 20% | 1/5 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 18% | 2/11 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 63% | 5/8 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 33% | 1/3 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 3/6 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 5/6 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 5/6 | 57% | 4/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Thompson 0, Nishikori 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Thompson
🤖 Servebot
Nishikori
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
🤖 Servebot vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,749 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 28, 2024
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 25, 2023
Truist Atlanta Open - Atlanta
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 1, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jan 5, 2017
Brisbane
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Thompson | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 1–1 |
| Avg odds | - | 3.62 |
| ROI % | - | +10.5% |
| Units P/L | - | +0.21u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 21
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 19
Jurij Rodionov
Noumea Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jan 8
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
Noumea Challenger · 2nd Round
Jan 7
Emile Hudd
Noumea Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 6
Erik Arutiunian
Sioux Falls Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Michael Mmoh
Sioux Falls Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Dan Added
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 8
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Juncheng Shang
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 22
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 20
Yibing Wu
Sarasota Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Sarasota Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 7
Clement Tabur
Cherbourg Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 9
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Thionville Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 4
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 13–14 matches
| Metric | Thompson | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 57% |
| Sets won | 53% | 54% |
| Games won | 52% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Thompson | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP World Tour 250 | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Thompson | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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