Jordan Thompson vs Kei NishikoriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jordan Thompson and Kei Nishikori have met 4 times since 2017; Kei Nishikori leads 3–1. Their first meeting came at Brisbane in 2017 on hard. On hard courts Nishikori leads 3–0. Nishikori has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Thompson has taken 3 sets to Nishikori's 7. Their most recent meeting: Kei Nishikori won at Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo (2024).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Thompson | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jordan Thompson | Kei Nishikori | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 100% | 4/4 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Wins a set when losing | 0% | 0/1 | 40% | 4/10 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 0% | 0/5 | 48% | 10/21 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 80% | 4/5 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | — | 56% | 5/9 | |
| Tiebreak sets won | 100% | 2/2 | 40% | 2/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 82% | 9/11 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 100% | 4/4 | 45% | 5/11 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 3 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Thompson 0, Nishikori 3).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Thompson
🤖 Servebot
Nishikori
🏹 Frontrunner
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,115 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jordan Thompson.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
4 career meetings, newest first
Sep 28, 2024
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo
H Hard · 2nd Round
Jul 25, 2023
Truist Atlanta Open - Atlanta
H Hard · 1st Round
Jul 1, 2021
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Jan 5, 2017
Brisbane
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Thompson | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | - | 4–5 |
| Avg odds | - | 2.70 |
| ROI % | - | -15.7% |
| Units P/L | - | -1.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Thompson | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 1 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | JPN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Nuno Borges
Australian Open - Melbourne · 2nd Round
Jan 21
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Australian Open - Melbourne · 1st Round
Jan 19
Jurij Rodionov
Noumea Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jan 8
Nicolas Moreno De Alboran
Noumea Challenger · 2nd Round
Jan 7
Emile Hudd
Noumea Challenger · 1st Round
Jan 6
Erik Arutiunian
Sioux Falls Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 22
Michael Mmoh
Sioux Falls Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 20
Dan Added
Roanne Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 8
Frances Tiafoe
Japan Open Tennis Championships - Tokyo · 1st Round
Oct 1
Rei Sakamoto
U.S. Open - New York · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Michael Antonius
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 27
Sebastian Ofner
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Marco Trungelliti
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Francisco Comesana
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Michael Zheng
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 7–21 matches
| Metric | Thompson | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 52% |
| Sets won | 67% | 50% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Thompson | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 1 | 0 |
| ATP 500 | 0 | 1 |
| ATP 250 | 0 | 2 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Thompson | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 3 |
| Grass | 1 | 0 |
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