Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur vs Maria AndrienkoPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- W35 Santa Margherita di Pula
- Level
- ITF W35
- Round
- Quarterfinals
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- October 9 · 4:00 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur meets Maria Andrienko in the quarterfinals of the W35 Santa Margherita di Pula on October 9, a clay court event where both players have competed regularly. Steur, ranked 286th, arrives off consecutive wins and has played twice in 14 days. Andrienko, unranked, carries a four-match winning streak into the match after competing in five events over the same span.
The two have no prior head-to-head record. Against common opponents, Steur has compiled five straight wins, while Andrienko's results have been mixed; she beat Annemarie Lazar, Charlotte Van Zonneveld, I Wen Wan, and Luisa Fusil but fell to Alyssa Reguer. Over recent clay samples, Steur has won 75% of her matches while Andrienko sits at 65%, though Andrienko's form in her last five events is stronger at 80% compared to Steur's 60%.
Steur operates as a counterpuncher who thrives in extended rallies and reacting to her opponent's pace. Andrienko plays an aggressive, physical baseline game. On clay, where rhythm and court position matter heavily, Steur will need to construct points patiently while Andrienko aims to dictate from the baseline and finish quickly.
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Lilly Sophie Steur | Andrienko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | Maria Andrienko | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 88% | 45/51 | 70% | 16/23 |
| Wins a set when losing | 39% | 9/23 | 40% | 6/15 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 20% | 15/74 | 34% | 13/38 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 57% | 16/28 | 62% | 8/13 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 5/9 | 60% | 12/20 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 80% | 4/5 | 33% | 2/6 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 93% | 50/54 | 90% | 19/21 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 83% | 45/54 | 76% | 16/21 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Steur
🪃 Counterpuncher
Andrienko
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
🪃 Counterpuncher vs ⚔️ The Gladiator is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 7,923 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Steur and Andrienko have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Steur | Andrienko | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | Maria Andrienko | ||
| 1 or more | 40% | 10/25 | 35% | 6/17 |
| 3 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/17 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/25 | 0% | 0/17 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Steur | Andrienko |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 12–7 | 13–10 |
| Avg odds | 1.51 | 2.46 |
| ROI % | -12.3% | +9.3% |
| Units P/L | -2.34u | +2.13u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Steur | Andrienko |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 4 |
| Events | 3 | 4 |
| Matches | 10 | 6 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | DEN → BIH → MNE | ITA → ESP → FRA → MNE |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Steur has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Andrienko's 83%).
| Opponent | Steur | Andrienko |
|---|---|---|
| Natalija Senic | W 75 76 | W 64 64 |
| Annemarie Lazar | W 61 63 | W 67 61 104 |
| Milena Steinkamp | W 76 61 | W 61 76 |
| Charlotte Van Zonneveld | W 60 61 | W 26 64 107 |
| Alyssa Reguer | W 61 63 | L 36 63 36 |
| Luisa Fusil | W 61 60 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Carla Giambelli
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Nellie Taraba Wallberg
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Marie Mettraux
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Carla Giambelli
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Sep 23
Clara Burel
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · Semifinals
Sep 19
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · Quarterfinals
Sep 18
Francesca Curmi
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · 2nd Round
Sep 16
Charo Esquiva Banuls
BBVA Open Internacional - Valencia · 1st Round
Sep 15
Natalija Senic
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Nicole Andrea Molaro
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round
Oct 7
Annemarie Lazar
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 6
Marzia Paola Marina Pieragostini
W35 Santa Margherita di Pula · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Felitsata Dorofeeva Rybas
W15 Varna · 1st Round
Sep 29
Merel Hoedt
W50 Plovdiv · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Valentini Grammatikopoulou
W50 Pazardzhik · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Alja Senica
W15 Pecs · 1st Round
Sep 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–74 matches
| Metric | Steur | Andrienko |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 69% | 61% |
| Sets won | 68% | 58% |
| Games won | 58% | 53% |