Joel Schwaerzler vs Mathys ErhardPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Joel Schwaerzler and Mathys Erhard have met 2 times since 2026; Joel Schwaerzler leads 2–0. Their first meeting came at Kigali 1 Challenger in 2026 on clay. Schwaerzler has won the last 2 meetings. Across all meetings Schwaerzler has taken 4 sets to Erhard's 1. Their most recent meeting: Joel Schwaerzler won at Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Schwaerzler | Erhard | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Joel Schwaerzler | Mathys Erhard | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 52% | 16/31 | 68% | 26/38 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 9/27 | 30% | 11/37 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 41% | 24/58 | 31% | 23/75 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 33% | 11/33 | 43% | 16/37 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 12/25 | 55% | 17/31 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 23/34 | 47% | 16/34 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 25/28 | 78% | 29/37 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 16/28 | 70% | 26/37 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Schwaerzler 1, Erhard 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Schwaerzler
💥 Big Hitter
Erhard
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
💥 Big Hitter vs 🎯 Baseliner is historically tight (52% vs 48%, 1,047 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Aug 8, 2026
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Mar 3, 2026
Kigali 1 Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Schwaerzler | Erhard | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Joel Schwaerzler | Mathys Erhard | ||
| 1 or more | 92% | 11/12 | 80% | 16/20 |
| 3 or more | 83% | 10/12 | 65% | 13/20 |
| 5 or more | 42% | 5/12 | 30% | 6/20 |
| 10 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 5% | 1/20 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/20 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/20 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Schwaerzler | Erhard |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–7 | 15–6 |
| Avg odds | 2.08 | 1.97 |
| ROI % | -21.1% | +24.7% |
| Units P/L | -2.74u | +5.18u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Schwaerzler | Erhard |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 3 | 1 |
| Events | 3 | 1 |
| Matches | 7 | 4 |
| Distance | 6,345 mi · 10,212 km | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | POL → USA → JAM | POL |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Schwaerzler has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Erhard's 33%).
| Opponent | Schwaerzler | Erhard |
|---|---|---|
| Martin Krumich | L 26 36 | L 63 26 36 |
| Maxim Mrva | W 63 64 | W 63 62 |
| Jurij Rodionov | L 46 26 | W 63 62 |
| Franco Agamenone | W 67 63 61 | L 06 26 |
| Florent Bax | W 36 64 60 | L 36 46 |
| Mirza Basic | W 63 63 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Kenta Miyoshi
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Andy Andrade
Brownsburg Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 12
Andrea Guerrieri
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Final
Aug 9
Mathys Erhard
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 8
Ilya Ivashka
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Aziz Dougaz
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Jiri Cizek
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Martin Krumich
Liberec Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Joel Schwaerzler
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Semifinals
Aug 8
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 7
Damir Dzumhur
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Olaf Pieczkowski
Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 4
Filip Jeff Planinsek
M25 Ollersbach · Final
Jul 26
Andrej Martin
M25 Ollersbach · Semifinals
Jul 25
Thilo Behrmann
M25 Ollersbach · 2nd Round
Jul 24
Jan Kumstat
M25 Ollersbach · Quarterfinals
Jul 24
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 58–75 matches
| Metric | Schwaerzler | Erhard |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 53% | 51% |
| Sets won | 51% | 50% |
| Games won | 50% | 51% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Schwaerzler | Erhard |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Schwaerzler | Erhard |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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