Jodie Burrage vs Mai HontamaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- China Open - Beijing
- Level
- WTA 1000
- Round
- 3rd Round Qualifying
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 29 · 3:05 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.84 or shorter, Jodie Burrage has won 15 of 24 (63%). The price implied 57%, so Jodie Burrage has beaten it by 6 points.
At 1.92 or longer, Mai Hontama has won 16 of 40 (40%). That is level with the 41% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Jodie Burrage meets Mai Hontama in the 3rd Round Qualifying of the China Open in Beijing on September 29 on hard court. Burrage ranks 741st in the world; Hontama sits at 177th. The two have met three times previously, with Burrage leading 2-1 in the head-to-head record.
Mai Hontama has won two of her last five matches, though she maintains a 60% record over ten. Jodie Burrage has won three of her last five and also sits at 60% over ten matches. Both played within the past day, with Hontama competing twice in the last two weeks compared to Burrage's single appearance in that span.
Burrage relies on aggressive shot-making and power off the ground to control points early. Hontama tends toward rallying and grinding out victories through resilience and court positioning. On hard court, Burrage has compiled a 65% record while Hontama holds 60%. The match will test whether Burrage can sustain her aggressive approach against Hontama's willingness to extend rallies and stay in longer exchanges.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Burrage | Hontama | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jodie Burrage | Mai Hontama | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 71% | 12/17 | 62% | 23/37 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 3/7 | 38% | 11/29 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 33% | 8/24 | 38% | 25/66 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 9/17 | 46% | 16/35 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 75% | 3/4 | 62% | 16/26 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 30% | 3/10 | 46% | 6/13 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 100% | 14/14 | 80% | 33/41 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 86% | 12/14 | 56% | 23/41 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Burrage
💥 Big Hitter
Hontama
⚔️ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 2,914 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jodie Burrage.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Burrage and Hontama have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Burrage | Hontama | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jodie Burrage | Mai Hontama | ||
| 1 or more | 94% | 17/18 | 33% | 5/15 |
| 3 or more | 56% | 10/18 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 5 or more | 44% | 8/18 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/18 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Burrage | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 14–5 | 10–6 |
| Avg odds | 1.36 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | -4.0% | +26.5% |
| Units P/L | -0.75u | +4.24u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Burrage | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 7 | 2 |
| Distance | — | 592 mi · 952 km |
| Route | SMR → ROU | POR → ROU |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
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Sep 2
Stephanie Judith Visscher
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Aug 31
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Aug 30
Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 25
Alexandra Panova
China Open - Beijing · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Eunhye Lee
Korea Open - Seoul · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 19
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Lina Gjorcheska
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Yeon Woo Ku
W100 Landisville · 2nd Round
Aug 8
Katrina Scott
W100 Landisville · Quarterfinals
Aug 8
Erika Andreeva
W100 Landisville · 1st Round
Aug 4
Maddison Inglis
Odlum Brown VanOpen - Vancouver · Semifinals
Jul 31
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 24–66 matches
| Metric | Burrage | Hontama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 71% | 56% |
| Sets won | 66% | 54% |
| Games won | 58% | 52% |