Jessika Ponchet vs Maja ChwalinskaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ซ๐ทJessika Ponchet
#267 ยท 29 yrs ยท Right-Handed
10w31 meeting ยท sets 2โ1

๐ต๐ฑMaja Chwalinska
#21 ยท 24 yrs ยท Left-Handed
3Jessika Ponchet and Maja Chwalinska have met 1 time since 2026; Jessika Ponchet leads 1โ0. Across all meetings Ponchet has taken 2 sets to Chwalinska's 1. Their most recent meeting: Jessika Ponchet won at W75 Saint-Gaudens (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ponchet | Chwalinska | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jessika Ponchet | Maja Chwalinska | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 78% | 14/18 | 81% | 29/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 29% | 5/17 | 53% | 9/17 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 26% | 9/35 | 30% | 16/53 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 60% | 9/15 | 57% | 23/40 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 59% | 10/17 | 67% | 8/12 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 33% | 2/6 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 15/18 | 84% | 32/38 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 76% | 29/38 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Ponchet 0, Chwalinska 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ponchet
๐ฅ Big Hitter
Chwalinska
๐ The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
๐ฅ Big Hitter vs ๐ The Complete Package is historically tight (48% vs 52%, 3,896 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 8, 2026
W75 Saint-Gaudens
C Clay ยท Quarterfinals
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Ponchet | Chwalinska |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 0โ1 | 3โ5 |
| Avg odds | 3.01 | 2.52 |
| ROI % | -100.0% | -19.0% |
| Units P/L | -1.00u | -1.52u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ponchet | Chwalinska |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 3 |
| Events | โ | 3 |
| Matches | โ | 4 |
| Distance | โ | 1,715 mi ยท 2,760 km |
| Route | โ | CAN โ POL โ AUT |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Chwalinska has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Ponchet's 0%).
| Opponent | Ponchet | Chwalinska |
|---|---|---|
| Andrea Lazaro Garcia | L 36 36 | W 63 64 |
| Moyuka Uchijima | L 46 67 | L 62 36 57 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Polina Kudermetova
Wimbledon
Jun 23
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
W75 Saint-Gaudens ยท Semifinals
May 9
Maja Chwalinska
W75 Saint-Gaudens ยท Quarterfinals
May 8
Erika Andreeva
W75 Saint-Gaudens ยท 2nd Round
May 7
Clara Burel
W75 Saint-Gaudens ยท Round of 32
May 6
Moyuka Uchijima
Open 35 de Saint-Malo - Saint-Malo ยท Semifinals
May 2
Viktorija Golubic
Open 35 de Saint-Malo - Saint-Malo ยท Quarterfinals
May 1
Yasmine Kabbaj
Open 35 de Saint-Malo - Saint-Malo ยท 2nd Round
Apr 30
Alycia Parks
Abierto GNP Seguros - Monterrey ยท 2nd Round
Aug 27
Diana Shnaider
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 3rd Round
Aug 17
Cristina Bucsa
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati ยท 2nd Round
Aug 15
Talia Gibson
National Bank Open - Toronto ยท 2nd Round
Aug 4
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Wimbledon - London ยท 1st Round
Jun 29
Magda Linette
Boodles Tennis Challenge ยท -
Jun 26
Mirra Andreeva
French Open - Paris ยท Final
Jun 6
Diana Shnaider
French Open - Paris ยท Semifinals
Jun 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 35โ53 matches
| Metric | Ponchet | Chwalinska |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 68% |
| Sets won | 52% | 66% |
| Games won | 51% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Ponchet | Chwalinska |
|---|---|---|
| ITF W75 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Ponchet | Chwalinska |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.