Jesse Flores vs Mateo CastañedaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jesse Flores and Mateo Castañeda have met 1 time since 2025; Jesse Flores leads 1–0. Across all meetings Flores has taken 2 sets to Castañeda's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jesse Flores won at Bogota (Los Lagartos) (2025).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Flores | Castañeda | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jesse Flores | Mateo Castañeda | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 14/20 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins a set when losing | 24% | 4/17 | 25% | 1/4 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 27% | 10/37 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 67% | 10/15 | 50% | 1/2 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 45% | 9/20 | 33% | 1/3 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 62% | 8/13 | — | |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 84% | 16/19 | 100% | 1/1 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 74% | 14/19 | 100% | 1/1 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Small sample — read with care. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Flores 1, Castañeda 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Flores
🤖 Servebot
Castañeda
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 56% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 91 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jesse Flores.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Nov 23, 2025
Bogota (Los Lagartos)
C Clay · 1st Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Flores | Castañeda |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–4 | - |
| Avg odds | 2.23 | - |
| ROI % | -41.3% | - |
| Units P/L | -2.89u | - |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Alexander Binda
M25 Yinchuan · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Reiya Komagata
M25 Yinchuan · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Cheng-Peng Hsieh
M25 Yinchuan · 1st Round
Sep 22
Naoya Honda
Guangzhou Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul
Guangzhou Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 13
Ethan Cook
Phan Thiet 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Oliver Okonkwo
M15 Champaign · 1st Round
Aug 26
Karl Poling
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Dmitry Popko
Bogota Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 5
Jesse Flores
Bogota (Los Lagartos) · 1st Round Qualifying
Nov 23
Santiago Lora
M25 Cochabamba 1 · 1st Round
Nov 18
Bruno Fernandez
M15 Ibague 1 · 2nd Round
Oct 29
Michael Beltran Rubio
M15 Ibague 1 · 1st Round
Oct 28
Juan Bautista Torres
Cali · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Salvador Price
M25 Londrina 1 · 1st Round
Sep 16
Joshua Sheehy
Barranquilla · 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 5–37 matches
| Metric | Flores | Castañeda |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 20% |
| Sets won | 52% | 27% |
| Games won | 52% | 39% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Flores | Castañeda |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Flores | Castañeda |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
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