Jesper de Jong vs Joao FonsecaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jesper de Jong and Joao Fonseca have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Estoril Challenger in 2025 on clay. Across all meetings Jong has taken 2 sets to Fonseca's 3. Their most recent meeting: Joao Fonseca won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Jong | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jesper de Jong | Joao Fonseca | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 12/24 | 72% | 13/18 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 64% | 7/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 43% | 21/49 | 41% | 12/29 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 29% | 10/34 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 31% | 4/13 | 63% | 5/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 14/20 | 67% | 10/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 76% | 16/21 | 88% | 15/17 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 12/21 | 76% | 13/17 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Jong 1, Fonseca 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jong
👑 The Complete Package
Fonseca
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Joao Fonseca.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 1, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Apr 30, 2025
Estoril Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Jong | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jesper de Jong | Joao Fonseca | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 75% | 3/4 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 12/12 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 5 or more | 67% | 8/12 | 50% | 2/4 |
| 10 or more | 17% | 2/12 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 15 or more | 8% | 1/12 | 0% | 0/4 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/12 | 0% | 0/4 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jong | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–7 | 4–1 |
| Avg odds | 1.97 | 1.61 |
| ROI % | -35.4% | +18.8% |
| Units P/L | -4.25u | +0.94u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Jong | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | — |
| Events | 2 | — |
| Matches | 4 | — |
| Distance | 793 mi · 1,276 km | — |
| Route | FRA → POR | — |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Fonseca has a higher win rate against shared opponents (40% vs Jong's 20%).
| Opponent | Jong | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 67 46 | L 26 26 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 67 46 16 | L 57 76 36 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 75 57 62 67 62 | W 46 76 64 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 62 57 46 | L 67 64 16 |
| Gabriel Diallo | L 46 67 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
David Jorda Sanchis
Porto Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Harold Mayot
St. Tropez Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 25
Andrea Guerrieri
St. Tropez Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 24
Remy Bertola
St. Tropez Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 22
Samuel Heredia
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, NED-COL 4-0 · Rubber 4
Sep 19
Zizou Bergs
U.S. Open - New York · 2nd Round
Sep 4
Francesco Passaro
U.S. Open - New York · 1st Round
Sep 3
Adam Walton
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Dominic Stricker
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, BRA-SUI 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 18
Botic van de Zandschulp
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jesper de Jong
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Roberto Bautista Agut
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 38–58 matches
| Metric | Jong | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 50% | 63% |
| Sets won | 47% | 60% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Jong | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Jong | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.