Jesper de Jong vs Joao FonsecaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jesper de Jong and Joao Fonseca have met 2 times since 2025; they are level 1–1. Their first meeting came at Estoril Challenger in 2025 on clay. Across all meetings Jong has taken 2 sets to Fonseca's 3. Their most recent meeting: Joao Fonseca won at Wimbledon - London (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | de Jong | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jesper de Jong | Joao Fonseca | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 44% | 11/25 | 75% | 15/20 |
| Wins a set when losing | 30% | 8/27 | 58% | 7/12 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 42% | 22/52 | 38% | 12/32 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 27% | 9/33 | 57% | 13/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 35% | 6/17 | 67% | 6/9 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 65% | 13/20 | 63% | 10/16 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 15/20 | 90% | 18/20 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 55% | 11/20 | 75% | 15/20 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (de Jong 1, Fonseca 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Jong
💥 Big Hitter
Fonseca
💥 Big Hitter
Matchup analysis
Both Jesper de Jong and Joao Fonseca are 💥 Big Hitter types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 2,644 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jul 1, 2026
Wimbledon - London
G Grass · 2nd Round
Apr 30, 2025
Estoril Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Jong | Fonseca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jesper de Jong | Joao Fonseca | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 3 or more | 100% | 16/16 | 67% | 6/9 |
| 5 or more | 63% | 10/16 | 56% | 5/9 |
| 10 or more | 25% | 4/16 | 22% | 2/9 |
| 15 or more | 19% | 3/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/16 | 0% | 0/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Jong | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 9–7 | 5–4 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 1.47 |
| ROI % | -9.7% | -21.7% |
| Units P/L | -1.55u | -1.95u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Jong | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 2 |
| Matches | 5 | 4 |
| Distance | 1,731 mi · 2,785 km | 712 mi · 1,146 km |
| Route | USA → CAN → USA | CAN → USA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 6 shared opponents, both Jong and Fonseca posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Jong | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Yannick Hanfmann | L 67 46 | L 26 26 |
| Jakub Mensik | W 46 76 64 | L 46 36 67 |
| Alexander Zverev | L 67 46 16 | L 57 76 36 |
| Karen Khachanov | W 75 57 62 67 62 | W 46 76 64 |
| Rafael Jodar | L 62 57 46 | L 67 64 16 |
| Gabriel Diallo | L 46 67 | W 62 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adam Walton
Winston-Salem Open - Winston-Salem · 1st Round
Aug 24
Hugo Gaston
Quebec City Challenger · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Quebec City Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Dane Sweeny
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 19
Alex Michelsen
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 1st Round
Aug 14
Timofey Skatov
Millennium Estoril Open - Estoril · 1st Round
Jul 21
Sebastian Baez
Nordea Open - Bastad · 2nd Round
Jul 16
Vilius Gaubas
Nordea Open - Bastad · 1st Round
Jul 13
Botic van de Zandschulp
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati · 2nd Round
Aug 16
Ben Shelton
National Bank Open - Montreal · 4th Round
Aug 10
Casper Ruud
National Bank Open - Montreal · 3rd Round
Aug 8
Stefanos Tsitsipas
National Bank Open - Montreal · 2nd Round
Aug 5
Roman Safiullin
Wimbledon - London · 3rd Round
Jul 3
Jesper de Jong
Wimbledon - London · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Roberto Bautista Agut
Wimbledon - London · 1st Round
Jun 29
Yannick Hanfmann
Terra Wortmann Open - Halle · 1st Round
Jun 16
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–59 matches
| Metric | Jong | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 49% | 63% |
| Sets won | 46% | 61% |
| Games won | 50% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Jong | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Grand Slam | 0 | 1 |
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Jong | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
| Grass | 0 | 1 |
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