Jelle Sels vs Ryan PenistonPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

π³π±Jelle Sels
#579 Β· 31 yrs Β· R
31 meeting Β· sets 0β2

π¬π§Ryan Peniston
#541 Β· 30 yrs Β· L
Jelle Sels and Ryan Peniston have met 1 time since 2026; Ryan Peniston leads 1β0. Across all meetings Sels has taken 0 sets to Peniston's 2. Their most recent meeting: Ryan Peniston won at Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sels | Peniston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelle Sels | Ryan Peniston | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 15/25 | 67% | 4/6 |
| Wins a set when losing | 36% | 9/25 | 29% | 4/14 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 38% | 19/50 | 30% | 6/20 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 56% | 9/16 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 56% | 18/32 | 25% | 2/8 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 53% | 9/17 | 20% | 1/5 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 75% | 6/8 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 68% | 15/22 | 50% | 4/8 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sels 0, Peniston 1).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sels
βοΈ Grinder
Peniston
βοΈ The Gladiator
Matchup analysis
βοΈ Grinder vs βοΈ The Gladiator is historically tight (51% vs 49%, 233 matches). Neither style has a clear edge, so form, surface, and the head-to-head matter most.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 27, 2026
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger
H Hard Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets Β· Last 90 days
| Outcome | Sels | Peniston | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jelle Sels | Ryan Peniston | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 11/11 | 71% | 5/7 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 5 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/7 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Sels | Peniston |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6β5 | 1β5 |
| Avg odds | 2.10 | 2.21 |
| ROI % | -3.2% | -74.2% |
| Units P/L | -0.35u | -4.45u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sels | Peniston |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 1 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 3 |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | 461 mi Β· 742 km |
| Route | FRA | FRA |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Sels has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Peniston's 0%).
| Opponent | Sels | Peniston |
|---|---|---|
| Dimitar Kuzmanov | W 63 64 | L 46 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Adrien Gobat
M15 Rodez Β· Final
Oct 11
Emile Hudd
M15 Rodez Β· Semifinals
Oct 10
Loann Massard
M15 Rodez Β· Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Alexandre Reco
M15 Rodez Β· 2nd Round
Oct 8
Thomas Gerbaud
M15 Rodez Β· 1st Round
Oct 7
Ryan Peniston
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Matthew William Donald
Tulln Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Eduardo Ribeiro
Porto Challenger Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Olbia Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 11
Filippo Romano
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Jelle Sels
Mouilleron-Le-Captif Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 27
Daniel Jade
St. Tropez Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 20
Daniil Glinka
Cassis Challenger Β· 1st Round
Sep 7
Carl Emil Overbeck
Manacor Challenger Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 31
Ivan Ivanov
Roehampton 2 Challenger Β· 1st Round
Aug 24
Max Basing
M25 Vila Real de Santo AntΓ³nio Β· Quarterfinals
Feb 20
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 20β51 matches
| Metric | Sels | Peniston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 30% |
| Sets won | 50% | 35% |
| Games won | 48% | 45% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sels | Peniston |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sels | Peniston |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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