Jelle Sels vs Kei NishikoriPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jelle Sels and Kei Nishikori have met 1 time since 2026; Kei Nishikori leads 1–0. Across all meetings Sels has taken 1 sets to Nishikori's 2. Their most recent meeting: Kei Nishikori won at Thionville Open (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Sels | Nishikori | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jelle Sels | Kei Nishikori | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 15/27 | 50% | 4/8 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 9/27 | 50% | 3/6 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 39% | 21/54 | 50% | 7/14 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 10/19 | 44% | 4/9 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 48% | 15/31 | 80% | 4/5 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 47% | 9/19 | 50% | 2/4 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 83% | 19/23 | 86% | 6/7 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 65% | 15/23 | 57% | 4/7 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Sels 0, Nishikori 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Sels
⚙️ Grinder
Nishikori
🎯 Baseliner
Matchup analysis
The 🎯 Baseliner archetype wins about 56% vs ⚙️ Grinder across 460 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Kei Nishikori.
Baseliner players often use precise groundstrokes and court control to pressure the grinder's relentless consistency.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Mar 2, 2026
Thionville Open
H Hard · 2nd Round Qualifying
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Sels | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 3–3 | 1–1 |
| Avg odds | 2.41 | 3.62 |
| ROI % | +15.0% | +10.5% |
| Units P/L | +0.90u | +0.21u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Sels | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 2 | — |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | NED | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Pieter De Lange
M25 Oldenzaal · 2nd Round
Aug 27
Stijn Paardekooper
M25 Oldenzaal · 1st Round
Aug 25
Abel Forger
M25 The Hague · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Kirill Kivattsev
M25 Nivelles · 2nd Round
Jul 1
Yuichiro Inui
Futures 2026
Jun 30
Yuichiro Inui
M25 Nivelles · 1st Round
Jun 30
Dimitar Kuzmanov
Plovdiv Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 23
Francesco Forti
Perugia Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Rafael Jodar
Citi Open - Washington · 2nd Round
Jul 30
Juncheng Shang
Citi Open - Washington · 1st Round
Jul 28
Jack Kennedy
Savannah Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 22
Colton Smith
Savannah Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 20
Yibing Wu
Sarasota Challenger · 2nd Round
Apr 9
Nicolas Kicker
Sarasota Challenger · 1st Round
Apr 7
Clement Tabur
Cherbourg Challenger · 1st Round
Mar 9
Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Thionville Challenger · 2nd Round
Mar 4
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 14–55 matches
| Metric | Sels | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 51% | 57% |
| Sets won | 49% | 54% |
| Games won | 48% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Sels | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Sels | Nishikori |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 0 | 1 |
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