Jazmin Ortenzi vs Mary StoianaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Kia Open - Barranquilla
- Level
- WTA 125
- Round
- 1st Round
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- September 8 Β· 7:00 PM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Jazmin Ortenzi meets Mary Stoiana in the first round of the Kia Open in Barranquilla on September 8, a hard court encounter between two unranked opponents making their first career meeting. Ortenzi sits at number 158; Stoiana holds number 122. Neither player has faced the other before.
Ortenzi has won one of her last five matches and carries a three-match losing streak into the event after a 15-day layoff. Stoiana has played four times in the past two weeks, posting a 60% win rate over her last five while managing a single loss in her most recent outing. Against common opponents, Stoiana defeated Julieta Pareja, Katherine Sebov, and Madison Brengle while Ortenzi fell to all three; both dropped matches to Alina Korneeva.
On hard courts, Stoiana holds a 55% record in recent play versus Ortenzi's 45%, a modest but tangible split. Stoiana's all-around game and consistency across surfaces contrast with Ortenzi's reliance on intensity and physicality. The match demands that Ortenzi find rhythm quickly after her layoff and maintain pressure through rallies, while Stoiana must sustain the form that has carried her through recent matches.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches Β· Last 12 months
| Indicator | Ortenzi | Stoiana | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jazmin Ortenzi | Mary Stoiana | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 74% | 29/39 | 66% | 35/53 |
| Wins a set when losing | 31% | 8/26 | 58% | 15/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 28% | 18/65 | 42% | 33/79 |
| Covers β1.5 sets as favorite | 53% | 19/36 | 53% | 27/51 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 62% | 13/21 | 67% | 16/24 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 57% | 8/14 | 73% | 16/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 88% | 35/40 | 86% | 44/51 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 73% | 29/40 | 69% | 35/51 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Ortenzi
βοΈ The Gladiator
Stoiana
π The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The π The Complete Package archetype wins about 55% vs βοΈ The Gladiator across 3,378 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Mary Stoiana.
The Complete Package players often use elite serve & return and high bp conversion to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Ortenzi and Stoiana have never faced each other on tour.
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches Β· Last 90 days
| Metric | Ortenzi | Stoiana |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 1β2 | 10β7 |
| Avg odds | 2.55 | 1.98 |
| ROI % | -57.0% | -8.3% |
| Units P/L | -1.71u | -1.41u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Ortenzi | Stoiana |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 1 | 7 |
| Distance | 0 mi Β· 0 km | 567 mi Β· 913 km |
| Route | NED | POL β NED |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced Β· Last 12 months
Stoiana has a higher win rate against shared opponents (78% vs Ortenzi's 33%).
| Opponent | Ortenzi | Stoiana |
|---|---|---|
| Himeno Sakatsume | L 36 16 | L 57 26 |
| Veronika Erjavec | L 46 57 | W 62 76 |
| Alina Korneeva | L 64 46 26 | L 62 46 36 |
| Julieta Pareja | L 46 16 | W 63 64 |
| Kristina Liutova | L 16 62 67 | W 62 64 |
| Madison Brengle | L 67 26 | W 62 62 |
| Madison Sieg | W 63 26 62 | W 76 63 |
| Hanna Chang | W 63 63 | W 36 76 62 |
| Alice Rame | W 57 63 64 | W 76 46 63 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Himeno Sakatsume
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 24
Elizara Yaneva
Internazionali Femminili - Brescia Β· 2nd Round
Jun 18
Francesca Pace
Internazionali Femminili - Brescia Β· 1st Round
Jun 16
Kaitlin Quevedo
Memorial Eugenio Fontana - Modena Β· 1st Round
Jun 8
Marta Lombardini
W75 Caserta Β· Round of 16
Jun 4
Marta Lombardini
W75 Caserta Β· 2nd Round
Jun 4
Beatrice Ricci
W75 Caserta Β· 1st Round
Jun 3
Alina Korneeva
French Open - Paris Β· 2nd Round Qualifying
May 20
Alexandra Eala
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round
Sep 2
Yue Yuan
U.S. Open - New York Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 28
Katie Swan
U.S. Open - New York Β· 2nd Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Harmony Tan
U.S. Open - New York Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 26
Tereza Valentova
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round
Aug 15
Oksana Selekhmeteva
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 12
Veronika Erjavec
Cincinnati Open - Cincinnati Β· 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 11
Alina Korneeva
National Bank Open - Toronto Β· 3rd Round Qualifying
Aug 1
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won Β· Last 12 months Β· 65β80 matches
| Metric | Ortenzi | Stoiana |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 60% | 66% |
| Sets won | 58% | 63% |
| Games won | 55% | 54% |