Jay Friend vs Yanki ErelPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jay Friend and Yanki Erel have met 1 time since 2026; Jay Friend leads 1–0. Across all meetings Friend has taken 2 sets to Erel's 1. Their most recent meeting: Jay Friend won at Istanbul Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Friend | Erel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jay Friend | Yanki Erel | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 21/30 | 78% | 47/60 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 37% | 7/19 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 16/46 | 25% | 20/79 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 11/25 | 58% | 36/62 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 4/5 | 77% | 10/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 14/20 | 55% | 11/20 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 25/28 | 90% | 53/59 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 80% | 47/59 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Friend 0, Erel 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Friend
💥 Big Hitter
Erel
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jay Friend.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 11, 2026
Istanbul Challenger
H Hard · Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Friend | Erel | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jay Friend | Yanki Erel | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 96% | 24/25 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 68% | 17/25 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 56% | 14/25 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 12% | 3/25 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 4% | 1/25 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/25 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Friend | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–2 | 17–7 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 1.79 |
| ROI % | +30.6% | +12.6% |
| Units P/L | +2.75u | +3.03u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Friend | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | — | 1 |
| Events | — | 1 |
| Matches | — | 4 |
| Distance | — | 0 mi · 0 km |
| Route | — | CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 1 shared opponent, both Friend and Erel posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Friend | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Keisuke Saitoh | W 62 61 | W 60 60 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Keisuke Saitoh
Wuning 3 Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Ryan Seggerman
Wuning 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Yuta Kikuchi
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Max Basing
Istanbul Challenger · Final
Sep 13
Maks Kasnikowski
Istanbul Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Yanki Erel
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Samir Hamza Reguig
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Matthew Dellavedova
M25 Luan · Semifinals
Oct 10
Anton Shepp
M25 Luan · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Egor Pleshivtsev
M25 Luan · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Boxiong Zhang
M25 Luan · 1st Round
Oct 7
Mattia Bellucci
Jingshan Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 3
Federico Cina
Jingshan Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 2
Michael Zheng
Jingshan Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 1
Arthur Weber
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 29
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–79 matches
| Metric | Friend | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 76% |
| Sets won | 62% | 71% |
| Games won | 54% | 59% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Friend | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Friend | Erel |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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