Jay Friend vs Ryan SeggermanPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- Wuning 3 Challenger
- Level
- ATP Challenger Tour
- Round
- Quarterfinals
- Surface
- Hard
- Date & time
- October 9 · 12:30 AM ET
Book odds
Set spread
Game spread
Record at prices like this
At 1.51 or shorter, Jay Dylan Hara Friend has won 8 of 12 (67%). That is level with the 68% the price implied.
At 2.45 or longer, Ryan Seggerman has won 8 of 27 (30%). That is level with the 30% the price implied.
Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.
Jay Friend and Ryan Seggerman meet next at the Wuning 3 Challenger on October 9 on hard.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Friend | Seggerman | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jay Friend | Ryan Seggerman | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 69% | 22/32 | 42% | 8/19 |
| Wins a set when losing | 41% | 7/17 | 45% | 5/11 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 17/49 | 53% | 16/30 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 42% | 11/26 | 42% | 5/12 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 71% | 5/7 | 76% | 13/17 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 68% | 15/22 | 45% | 10/22 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 90% | 26/29 | 73% | 11/15 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 76% | 22/29 | 53% | 8/15 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Friend
🏹 Frontrunner
Seggerman
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 54% vs 🏹 Frontrunner across 1,063 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Ryan Seggerman.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the frontrunner's fast starts.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Friend and Seggerman have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Friend | Seggerman | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jay Friend | Ryan Seggerman | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 3 or more | 73% | 8/11 | 100% | 9/9 |
| 5 or more | 55% | 6/11 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 89% | 8/9 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 67% | 6/9 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Friend | Seggerman |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–3 | 7–3 |
| Avg odds | 1.74 | 1.84 |
| ROI % | +13.0% | +4.7% |
| Units P/L | +1.04u | +0.47u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Friend | Seggerman |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 1 | 2 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | 6,486 mi · 10,439 km |
| Route | TUR | USA → CHN |
Host country from each tournament in the last 30 days, including the current event even when a player arrived on a bye. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Friend has a higher win rate against shared opponents (67% vs Seggerman's 0%).
| Opponent | Friend | Seggerman |
|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Krueger | W 62 63 | L 64 16 67 |
| Maks Kasnikowski | W 76 64 | L 36 67 |
| Shunsuke Mitsui | L 61 67 36 | L 76 36 46 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Yuta Kikuchi
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Max Basing
Istanbul Challenger · Final
Sep 13
Maks Kasnikowski
Istanbul Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Yanki Erel
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Samir Hamza Reguig
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Michele Ribecai
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 8
Billy Harris
Manacor Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Kaichi Uchida
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Hikaru Shiraishi
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Maxim Zhukov
Wuning 3 Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Oct 5
Naoki Tajima
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Oct 4
Aleksandar Vukic
Jingshan Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 28
Mitchell Krueger
Tiburon Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 17
Aidan Mayo
Tiburon Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 15
Alex Rybakov
Tiburon Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 14
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 30–49 matches
| Metric | Friend | Seggerman |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 63% |
| Sets won | 62% | 57% |
| Games won | 53% | 52% |