Head-to-Head

Jay Friend vs Michele RibecaiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

🇯🇵Jay Friend

#312 · 22 yrs · R

0–0

First meeting

🇮🇹Michele Ribecai

#264 · 23 yrs · R

3Beat 3 favorites

Upcoming match

Tournament: Istanbul Challenger
Level: ATP Challenger Tour
Round: 1st Round
Surface: Hard
Date & time: September 7 · 3:00 AM ET

Book odds

Jay Dylan Hara Friend1.44

Michele Ribecai2.56

Set spread

Dylan Hara Friend -1.52.13

Ribecai +1.51.62

Game spread

Dylan Hara Friend -31.84

Ribecai +31.82

Dylan Hara FriendHard-court specialist (98%)RibecaiClay-court specialist (66%)

Record at prices like this

Michele Ribecai2.56implies 31%won 10%−21 pts

At 2.56 or longer, Michele Ribecai has won 1 of 10 (10%). The price implied 31%, so Michele Ribecai has fallen 21 points short of it.

Book prices with the bookmaker margin removed, across every priced match we hold for each player. Green beats the price by 3 points or more, red falls that far short, grey is within 3 points. Samples under ten are not shown.

Jay Friend and Michele Ribecai meet next at the Istanbul Challenger on September 7 on hard.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months

Indicator	Friend	Ribecai
Indicator	Jay Friend		Michele Ribecai
Wins in straight sets	68%	17/25	78%	40/51
Wins a set when losing	38%	6/16	55%	18/33
Goes to a deciding set	34%	14/41	35%	29/84
Covers −1.5 sets as favorite	46%	11/24	56%	30/54
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog	60%	3/5	81%	22/27
Tiebreak sets won	65%	13/20	53%	8/15
Wins after taking set 1	88%	22/25	78%	43/55
Wins 2-0 after taking set 1	68%	17/25	73%	40/55

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Friend

🏹 Frontrunner

Fast startsAggressive openersMomentum-drivenStrong holds

Ribecai

⚔️ The Gladiator

Physical intensityBalanced gameStrong in deciding setsCompetitive fighter

Matchup analysis

The 🏹 Frontrunner archetype wins about 58% vs ⚔️ The Gladiator across 409 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jay Friend.

Frontrunner players often use fast starts and aggressive openers to pressure the the gladiator's physical intensity.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Friend and Ribecai have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days

Outcome	Friend	Ribecai
Outcome	Jay Friend		Michele Ribecai
1 or more	100%	9/9	74%	14/19
3 or more	78%	7/9	42%	8/19
5 or more	44%	4/9	5%	1/19
10 or more	11%	1/9	0%	0/19
15 or more	0%	0/9	0%	0/19
20 or more	0%	0/9	0%	0/19

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days

Metric	Friend	Ribecai
W-L	6–3	10–10
Avg odds	1.47	2.09
ROI %	-4.2%	-3.9%
Units P/L	-0.38u	-0.78u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

Metric	Friend	Ribecai
Countries	1	2
Events	1	2
Matches	2	6
Distance	0 mi · 0 km	838 mi · 1,348 km
Route	ESP	GBR → ESP

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months

Across 2 shared opponents, both Friend and Ribecai posted a 50% win rate.

Opponent	Friend	Ribecai
Billy Harris	L 57 46	L 46 26
Hiroki Moriya	W 62 60	W 62 36 64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Friend

LWLLWWWW

Billy Harris

Manacor Challenger · 2nd Round

Sep 3

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida

Manacor Challenger · 1st Round

76²

Sep 2

Spencer Johnson

Lexington Challenger · 2nd Round

Aug 6

J.J. Wolf

Vancouver Challenger · Semifinals

Jul 31

Benjamin Bonzi

Vancouver Challenger · Quarterfinals

76⁷

Jul 30

Toby Samuel

Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round

Jul 29

Connor Church

Vancouver Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying

76³

Jul 28

Hiroki Moriya

Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying

Jul 27

Ribecai

LWLWWWLW

Jack Pinnington Jones

Manacor Challenger · 2nd Round

Sep 3

Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg

Manacor Challenger · 1st Round

Sep 2

George Loffhagen

Roehampton 2 Challenger · Semifinals

Aug 28

Johannus Monday

Roehampton 2 Challenger · Quarterfinals

Aug 27

Anton Matusevich

Roehampton 2 Challenger · 2nd Round

6³7

Aug 26

Mark Ceban

Roehampton 2 Challenger · 1st Round

Aug 24

Andrea Guerrieri

Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · Quarterfinals

Aug 7

Tomasz Berkieta

Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger · 2nd Round

Aug 5

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–84 matches

Metric	Friend	Ribecai
Matches won	61%	61%
Sets won	58%	61%
Games won	53%	55%