Jay Friend vs Maks KasnikowskiPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jay Friend and Maks Kasnikowski have met 1 time since 2026; Jay Friend leads 1–0. Across all meetings Friend has taken 2 sets to Kasnikowski's 0. Their most recent meeting: Jay Friend won at Istanbul Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Friend | Kasnikowski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jay Friend | Maks Kasnikowski | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 70% | 21/30 | 79% | 42/53 |
| Wins a set when losing | 44% | 7/16 | 60% | 18/30 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 16/46 | 35% | 29/83 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 44% | 11/25 | 62% | 38/61 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 80% | 4/5 | 68% | 13/19 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 70% | 14/20 | 54% | 15/28 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 25/28 | 82% | 47/57 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 75% | 21/28 | 74% | 42/57 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 1 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Friend 1, Kasnikowski 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Friend
💥 Big Hitter
Kasnikowski
👑 The Complete Package
Matchup analysis
The 💥 Big Hitter archetype wins about 53% vs 👑 The Complete Package across 1,618 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jay Friend.
Big Hitter players often use power groundstrokes and high winner count to pressure the the complete package's elite serve & return.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Sep 12, 2026
Istanbul Challenger
H Hard · Semifinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Friend | Kasnikowski | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jay Friend | Maks Kasnikowski | ||
| 1 or more | 91% | 10/11 | 93% | 14/15 |
| 3 or more | 82% | 9/11 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 5 or more | 64% | 7/11 | 40% | 6/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 7% | 1/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/11 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Friend | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 7–2 | 8–8 |
| Avg odds | 1.69 | 2.05 |
| ROI % | +30.6% | -27.2% |
| Units P/L | +2.75u | -4.35u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Friend has a higher win rate against shared opponents (100% vs Kasnikowski's 50%).
| Opponent | Friend | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Seggerman | W 76 62 | W 63 76 |
| Mitchell Krueger | W 62 63 | L 46 76 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Keisuke Saitoh
Wuning 3 Challenger · Semifinals
Oct 10
Ryan Seggerman
Wuning 3 Challenger · Quarterfinals
Oct 9
Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong
Wuning 3 Challenger · 2nd Round
Oct 8
Yuta Kikuchi
Wuning 3 Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Max Basing
Istanbul Challenger · Final
Sep 13
Maks Kasnikowski
Istanbul Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Yanki Erel
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Samir Hamza Reguig
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 10
Philip Henning
Villena Challenger · 1st Round
Oct 6
Alex de Minaur
Davis Cup, Group I, 1R, AUS-POL 3-1 · Rubber 1
Sep 19
Jay Dylan Hara Friend
Istanbul Challenger · Semifinals
Sep 12
Francesco Maestrelli
Istanbul Challenger · Quarterfinals
Sep 11
Christian Langmo
Istanbul Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 9
Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Istanbul Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 7
Alejo Sanchez Quilez
Manacor Challenger · 2nd Round
Sep 3
Elmer Moller
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 46–83 matches
| Metric | Friend | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 65% | 64% |
| Sets won | 62% | 64% |
| Games won | 54% | 54% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Friend | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Friend | Kasnikowski |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 0 |
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