Jay Friend vs Karl PolingPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jay Friend and Karl Poling have met 3 times since 2026; Jay Friend leads 2–1. Their first meeting came at UAMS Health Little Rock Open in 2026 on hard. On hard courts Friend leads 2–1. Across all meetings Friend has taken 5 sets to Poling's 2. Their most recent meeting: Karl Poling won at Tyler Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Friend | Poling | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jay Friend | Karl Poling | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 67% | 18/27 | 57% | 20/35 |
| Wins a set when losing | 43% | 6/14 | 37% | 13/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 37% | 15/41 | 40% | 28/70 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 48% | 11/23 | 43% | 10/23 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 60% | 3/5 | 63% | 22/35 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 67% | 14/21 | 40% | 12/30 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 89% | 24/27 | 79% | 27/34 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 18/27 | 59% | 20/34 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 2 of 3 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Friend 2, Poling 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Friend
🎾 All-Court
Poling
🛡️ The Spoiler
Matchup analysis
The 🎾 All-Court archetype wins about 54% vs 🛡️ The Spoiler across 86 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jay Friend.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the the spoiler's strong court coverage.
Previous meetings
3 career meetings, newest first
Jun 2, 2026
Tyler Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
May 24, 2026
Little Rock Challenger
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
May 2, 2026
UAMS Health Little Rock Open
H Hard · 1st Round Qualifying
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Friend | Poling | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jay Friend | Karl Poling | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 62% | 8/13 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 23% | 3/13 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/13 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Friend | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–2 | 10–4 |
| Avg odds | 1.43 | 2.26 |
| ROI % | +7.8% | +56.0% |
| Units P/L | +0.62u | +7.84u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Friend | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 3 |
| Events | 2 | 3 |
| Matches | 2 | 7 |
| Distance | 4,517 mi · 7,269 km | — |
| Route | USA → ESP | USA → CAN → JAM |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Friend has a higher win rate against shared opponents (50% vs Poling's 25%).
| Opponent | Friend | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Henry Searle | L 67 26 | W 76 36 63 |
| Stefan Kozlov | W 62 46 63 | L 46 67 |
| Raphael Perot | L 26 64 36 | L 57 63 46 |
| Garrett Johns | W 63 63 | L 26 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
Manacor Challenger · 1st Round
Sep 2
Spencer Johnson
Lexington Challenger · 2nd Round
Aug 6
Benjamin Bonzi
Vancouver Challenger · Quarterfinals
Jul 30
Toby Samuel
Vancouver Challenger · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Connor Church
Vancouver Challenger · 3rd Round Qualifying
Jul 28
Hiroki Moriya
Vancouver Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Jul 27
Yu Hsiou Hsu
Winnipeg Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 21
Yuta Shimizu
Granby challenger
Jul 14
Thomas Fancutt
Kingston 2 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 25
Stefanos Sakellaridis
Quebec City Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 17
Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes
M25 East Lansing · Final
Aug 16
Nikita Filin
M25 East Lansing · Semifinals
Aug 15
Axel Nefve
M25 East Lansing · Quarterfinals
Aug 14
Thomas Fancutt
M25 East Lansing · 2nd Round
Aug 13
Jesse Flores
M25 East Lansing · 1st Round
Aug 12
Aidan Kim
Lexington Challenger · 1st Round Qualifying
Aug 2
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 41–70 matches
| Metric | Friend | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 66% | 50% |
| Sets won | 62% | 49% |
| Games won | 54% | 50% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Friend | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 2 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Friend | Poling |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 2 | 1 |
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