Jay Friend vs Justin BoulaisPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

๐ฏ๐ตJay Friend
#314 ยท 22 yrs ยท R
7w2 meetings ยท sets 3โ3

๐จ๐ฆJustin Boulais
#395 ยท 24 yrs ยท L
3Jay Friend and Justin Boulais have met 2 times since 2026; they are level 1โ1. Their first meeting came at Little Rock Challenger in 2026 on hard. On hard courts they are level 1โ1. Across all meetings Friend has taken 3 sets to Boulais's 3. Their most recent meeting: Jay Friend won at Cary challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Friend | Boulais | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jay Friend | Justin Boulais | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 59% | 13/22 | 78% | 28/36 |
| Wins a set when losing | 55% | 6/11 | 35% | 9/26 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 45% | 15/33 | 27% | 17/62 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 46% | 11/24 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 67% | 4/6 | 63% | 19/30 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 9/15 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 86% | 19/22 | 81% | 29/36 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 59% | 13/22 | 78% | 28/36 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 2 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Friend 0, Boulais 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Friend
๐พ All-Court
Boulais
๐งฑ The Wall
Matchup analysis
The ๐พ All-Court archetype wins about 58% vs ๐งฑ The Wall across 131 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jay Friend.
All-Court players often use tactical versatility and net approach ability to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
2 career meetings, newest first
Jun 29, 2026
Cary challenger
H Hard
May 29, 2026
Little Rock Challenger
H Hard ยท Quarterfinals
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Friend | Boulais | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jay Friend | Justin Boulais | ||
| 1 or more | 100% | 7/7 | 100% | 10/10 |
| 3 or more | 71% | 5/7 | 50% | 5/10 |
| 5 or more | 43% | 3/7 | 30% | 3/10 |
| 10 or more | 14% | 1/7 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/10 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/7 | 0% | 0/10 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Friend | Boulais |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 8โ2 | 4โ8 |
| Avg odds | 1.32 | 2.29 |
| ROI % | +3.1% | -28.8% |
| Units P/L | +0.31u | -3.46u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Friend | Boulais |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | โ | 1 |
| Events | โ | 1 |
| Matches | โ | 1 |
| Distance | โ | 0 mi ยท 0 km |
| Route | โ | CAN |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Friend has a higher win rate against shared opponents (80% vs Boulais's 40%).
| Opponent | Friend | Boulais |
|---|---|---|
| Yuta Shimizu | L 26 64 26 | W 75 61 |
| Cole Thurgur | W 64 62 | W 63 64 |
| Michael Mmoh | W 62 76 | L 61 16 26 |
| Fajing Sun | W 62 62 | L 16 16 |
| Alfredo Perez | W 64 57 63 | L 36 36 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Yuta Shimizu
Granby challenger
Jul 14
Keegan Rice
M25 Laval ยท Semifinals
Jul 11
Strong Kirchheimer
M25 Laval ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 11
Cole Thurgur
M25 Laval ยท 2nd Round
Jul 9
Eloi Roux
M25 Laval ยท 1st Round
Jul 8
Eloi Roux
Futures 2026
Jul 8
Braden Shick
Cary Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 3
Alex Martinez
Cary Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 2
Benjamin Bonzi
Quebec City Challenger ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Johannus Monday
Winnipeg Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 21
August Holmgren
Granby Challenger ยท Quarterfinals
Jul 17
Yuta Shimizu
Granby Challenger ยท 2nd Round
Jul 15
Zhizhen Zhang
Granby Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jul 13
Kenta Miyoshi
M25 Laval ยท 2nd Round
Jul 9
Millen Hurrion
M25 Laval ยท 1st Round
Jul 8
Tung-Lin Wu
Cary Challenger ยท 1st Round
Jun 30
Rivalry momentum
Cumulative head-to-head lead over time
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 33โ62 matches
| Metric | Friend | Boulais |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 67% | 58% |
| Sets won | 62% | 57% |
| Games won | 54% | 52% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Friend | Boulais |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 1 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Friend | Boulais |
|---|---|---|
| Hard | 1 | 1 |
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