Jay Clarke vs Milos KarolPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jay Clarke and Milos Karol have met 1 time since 2026; Milos Karol leads 1–0. Across all meetings Clarke has taken 1 sets to Karol's 2. Their most recent meeting: Milos Karol won at Kosice Challenger (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Clarke | Karol | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jay Clarke | Milos Karol | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 68% | 25/37 | 62% | 18/29 |
| Wins a set when losing | 63% | 20/32 | 52% | 11/21 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 46% | 32/69 | 44% | 22/50 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 43% | 20/46 | 48% | 15/31 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 72% | 13/18 | 60% | 9/15 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 29% | 5/17 | 35% | 12/34 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 75% | 33/44 | 72% | 21/29 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 57% | 25/44 | 62% | 18/29 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Clarke 0, Karol 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Clarke
🪃 Counterpuncher
Karol
🤖 Servebot
Matchup analysis
The 🤖 Servebot archetype wins about 57% vs 🪃 Counterpuncher across 2,280 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Milos Karol.
Servebot players often use high ace rate and dominant service to pressure the counterpuncher's elite bp conversion.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
May 26, 2026
Kosice Challenger
C Clay · 1st Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Clarke | Karol | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jay Clarke | Milos Karol | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 3 or more | 60% | 6/10 | 100% | 6/6 |
| 5 or more | 30% | 3/10 | 83% | 5/6 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 50% | 3/6 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 33% | 2/6 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 17% | 1/6 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Clarke | Karol |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5–7 | 2–2 |
| Avg odds | 1.83 | 2.61 |
| ROI % | -30.1% | -36.5% |
| Units P/L | -3.61u | -1.46u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Clarke | Karol |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | — |
| Events | 1 | — |
| Matches | 1 | — |
| Distance | 0 mi · 0 km | — |
| Route | JAM | — |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Clarke has a higher win rate against shared opponents (43% vs Karol's 29%).
| Opponent | Clarke | Karol |
|---|---|---|
| Andrea Pellegrino | L 62 67 46 | W 64 62 |
| Daniel Masur | W 61 64 | L 67 67 |
| Alex Molcan | L 36 75 67 | L 36 46 |
| Andrej Martin | L 67 36 | L 63 26 67 |
| Federico Arnaboldi | W 61 61 | L 62 36 36 |
| Maks Kasnikowski | W 76 64 | W 76 26 61 |
| Matteo Martineau | L 64 16 26 | L 63 67 67 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Clement Chidekh
Kingston 1 Challenger · 1st Round
Aug 18
Jerome Kym
Zug Challenger · 1st Round
Jul 20
Javier Barranco Cosano
Bundesliga - men
Jul 12
Stijn Paardekooper
M25 The Hague · 2nd Round
Jul 9
Stijn Paardekooper
Futures 2026
Jul 9
Mac Visser
M25 The Hague · 1st Round
Jul 8
Marco Trungelliti
Bundesliga - men
Jul 5
Andrea Pellegrino
Wimbledon · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 29
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
Poznan Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 16
Luca Castelnuovo
Enea Poznan Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 15
Michael Vrbensky
Enea Poznan Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 14
Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Bratislava Open · 1st Round Qualifying
Jun 7
Alex Molcan
Prostejov Challenger · 2nd Round
Jun 4
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Prostejov Challenger · 1st Round
Jun 2
Marek Gengel
Unicredit Czech Open · 2nd Round Qualifying
Jun 1
Saba Purtseladze
Unicredit Czech Open · 1st Round Qualifying
May 31
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 50–69 matches
| Metric | Clarke | Karol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 54% | 58% |
| Sets won | 55% | 57% |
| Games won | 53% | 53% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Clarke | Karol |
|---|---|---|
| ATP Challenger Tour | 0 | 1 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Clarke | Karol |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 0 | 1 |
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