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Head-to-Head

Jan Kupcic vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola MordiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats

Upcoming match

Tournament
M15 Budapest
Level
ITF M15
Round
Quarterfinals
Surface
Clay
Date & time
September 11 ยท 4:05 AM ET

Book odds

Jan Kupcic1.55
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini2.26
KupcicClay-court specialist (70%)Costanzo Baragiola MordiniClay-court specialist (52%)

Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini and Jan Kupcic meet in the quarterfinals of the M15 Budapest on clay on September 11. Both players arrive with momentum; Mordini has won five straight matches and posted a 7-1 record over his last 10, while Kupcic has won four consecutive and taken 4 of 5. Neither has faced the other before.

The two have navigated the same clay-court draws this cycle, each defeating Ignacio Parisca and Luca Castagnola. Kupcic carries a 60% clay record against Mordini's 55% over their respective recent samples on the surface, though Mordini's current run is the sharper statement after eight matches in 14 days.

Mordini's strength lies in consistency and retrieval; he builds points through steadiness and depth. Kupcic operates as a reactive player, one who thrives off the opponent's pace and looks to punish mistakes. The clay medium typically rewards Mordini's defensive anchoring, but Kupcic's read-and-respond game can disrupt rhythm. Mordini will need to dictate early in rallies and limit second chances; Kupcic must stay patient and convert the windows Mordini's baseline tennis provides.

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Spread & Straight-Sets Form

Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months

IndicatorKupcicCostanzo Baragiola Mordini
Wins in straight sets75%88%
Wins a set when losing33%32%
Goes to a deciding set29%24%
Covers โˆ’1.5 sets as favorite75%0%
Covers +1.5 sets as underdog47%69%
Tiebreak sets won60%33%
Wins after taking set 178%83%
Wins 2-0 after taking set 167%83%

Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.

Style Matchup

Playing styles and historical archetype record

Kupcic

๐Ÿชƒ Counterpuncher

Elite BP conversionStrong return gameDefensive consistencyRally tolerance
vs

Mordini

๐Ÿงฑ The Wall

Elite returnerLow unforced errorsExtreme consistencyPhysical endurance

Matchup analysis

The ๐Ÿชƒ Counterpuncher archetype wins about 56% vs ๐Ÿงฑ The Wall across 678 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jan Kupcic.

Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.

Previous meetings

First career meeting

Kupcic and Mordini have never faced each other on tour.

Prop Research

Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days

OutcomeKupcicMordini
1 or more70%73%
3 or more20%13%
5 or more10%0%
10 or more0%0%
15 or more0%0%
20 or more0%0%

Player ROI

Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days

MetricKupcicMordini
W-L5โ€“54โ€“4
Avg odds2.512.67
ROI %-17.8%+42.2%
Units P/L-1.78u+3.38u

Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.

Travel

Last 30 days

MetricKupcicMordini
Countries22
Events33
Matches45
Distanceโ€”โ€”
RouteSLO โ†’ ROUITA โ†’ AUT โ†’ ITA

Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.

Common opponents

Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months

Across 2 shared opponents, both Kupcic and Mordini posted a 100% win rate.

OpponentKupcicMordini
Andrea Casella
W
62
60
W
62
61
Luca Castagnola
W
76
46
64
W
64
64

Recent Form

Last five matches per player

Kupcic
WWWWLLLW
W

Peter Fajta

M15 Budapest ยท 2nd Round

763
63

Sep 10

W

Lucas Renard

M15 Budapest ยท 1st Round

63
75

Sep 9

W

Botond Kisantal

M15 Budapest ยท 3rd Round Qualifying

667
61
104

Sep 8

W

Andrea Casella

M15 Budapest ยท 2nd Round Qualifying

62
60

Sep 7

L

Fermin Tenti

M15 Buzau ยท 1st Round

36
26

Aug 31

L

Sebastian Sorger

M25 Maribor ยท 1st Round

06
16

Aug 26

L

Giuseppe La Vela

M25 Slovenj Gradec ยท 2nd Round

26
06

Aug 20

W

Andrea Fiorentini

M25 Slovenj Gradec ยท 1st Round

63
63

Aug 19

Mordini
WWWWWLWW
W

Kirill Kivattsev

M15 Budapest ยท 2nd Round

46
765
75

Sep 10

W

Vincent Dullinger

M15 Budapest ยท 1st Round

64
75

Sep 9

W

Marko Retelj

M15 Budapest ยท 3rd Round Qualifying

63
62

Sep 8

W

Moritz Baumgartner

M15 Budapest ยท 2nd Round Qualifying

62
61

Sep 7

W

Daniel Rat

M15 Budapest ยท 1st Round Qualifying

62
61

Sep 6

L

Lorenzo Berto

M15 Bologna ยท Quarterfinals

46
36

Sep 5

W

Luca Castagnola

M15 Bologna ยท 2nd Round

64
64

Sep 3

W

Lorenzo Beraldo

M15 Bologna ยท 1st Round

62
62

Sep 2

Win rate

Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 31โ€“42 matches

MetricKupcicMordini
Matches won52%40%
Sets won52%45%
Games won50%49%