Jan Kupcic vs Tobia Costanzo Baragiola MordiniPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Upcoming match
- Tournament
- M15 Budapest
- Level
- ITF M15
- Round
- Quarterfinals
- Surface
- Clay
- Date & time
- September 11 ยท 4:05 AM ET
Book odds
Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini and Jan Kupcic meet in the quarterfinals of the M15 Budapest on clay on September 11. Both players arrive with momentum; Mordini has won five straight matches and posted a 7-1 record over his last 10, while Kupcic has won four consecutive and taken 4 of 5. Neither has faced the other before.
The two have navigated the same clay-court draws this cycle, each defeating Ignacio Parisca and Luca Castagnola. Kupcic carries a 60% clay record against Mordini's 55% over their respective recent samples on the surface, though Mordini's current run is the sharper statement after eight matches in 14 days.
Mordini's strength lies in consistency and retrieval; he builds points through steadiness and depth. Kupcic operates as a reactive player, one who thrives off the opponent's pace and looks to punish mistakes. The clay medium typically rewards Mordini's defensive anchoring, but Kupcic's read-and-respond game can disrupt rhythm. Mordini will need to dictate early in rallies and limit second chances; Kupcic must stay patient and convert the windows Mordini's baseline tennis provides.
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Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches ยท Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kupcic | Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jan Kupcic | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 75% | 12/16 | 88% | 15/17 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 5/15 | 32% | 8/25 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 29% | 9/31 | 24% | 10/42 |
| Covers โ1.5 sets as favorite | 75% | 6/8 | 0% | 0/1 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 47% | 7/15 | 69% | 9/13 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 60% | 3/5 | 33% | 4/12 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 78% | 14/18 | 83% | 15/18 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 67% | 12/18 | 83% | 15/18 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record.
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kupcic
๐ช Counterpuncher
Mordini
๐งฑ The Wall
Matchup analysis
The ๐ช Counterpuncher archetype wins about 56% vs ๐งฑ The Wall across 678 matches in our dataset: a stylistic lean toward Jan Kupcic.
Counterpuncher players often use elite bp conversion and strong return game to pressure the the wall's elite returner.
Previous meetings
First career meeting
Kupcic and Mordini have never faced each other on tour.
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets ยท Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kupcic | Mordini | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jan Kupcic | Tobia Costanzo Baragiola Mordini | ||
| 1 or more | 70% | 7/10 | 73% | 11/15 |
| 3 or more | 20% | 2/10 | 13% | 2/15 |
| 5 or more | 10% | 1/10 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/15 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/15 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches ยท Last 90 days
| Metric | Kupcic | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 5โ5 | 4โ4 |
| Avg odds | 2.51 | 2.67 |
| ROI % | -17.8% | +42.2% |
| Units P/L | -1.78u | +3.38u |
Small sample: ROI stabilizes with more matches; fewer than 10 in the window is noisy.
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kupcic | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 2 | 2 |
| Events | 3 | 3 |
| Matches | 4 | 5 |
| Distance | โ | โ |
| Route | SLO โ ROU | ITA โ AUT โ ITA |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced ยท Last 12 months
Across 2 shared opponents, both Kupcic and Mordini posted a 100% win rate.
| Opponent | Kupcic | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| Andrea Casella | W 62 60 | W 62 61 |
| Luca Castagnola | W 76 46 64 | W 64 64 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Peter Fajta
M15 Budapest ยท 2nd Round
Sep 10
Lucas Renard
M15 Budapest ยท 1st Round
Sep 9
Botond Kisantal
M15 Budapest ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 8
Andrea Casella
M15 Budapest ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Fermin Tenti
M15 Buzau ยท 1st Round
Aug 31
Sebastian Sorger
M25 Maribor ยท 1st Round
Aug 26
Giuseppe La Vela
M25 Slovenj Gradec ยท 2nd Round
Aug 20
Andrea Fiorentini
M25 Slovenj Gradec ยท 1st Round
Aug 19
Kirill Kivattsev
M15 Budapest ยท 2nd Round
Sep 10
Vincent Dullinger
M15 Budapest ยท 1st Round
Sep 9
Marko Retelj
M15 Budapest ยท 3rd Round Qualifying
Sep 8
Moritz Baumgartner
M15 Budapest ยท 2nd Round Qualifying
Sep 7
Daniel Rat
M15 Budapest ยท 1st Round Qualifying
Sep 6
Lorenzo Berto
M15 Bologna ยท Quarterfinals
Sep 5
Luca Castagnola
M15 Bologna ยท 2nd Round
Sep 3
Lorenzo Beraldo
M15 Bologna ยท 1st Round
Sep 2
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won ยท Last 12 months ยท 31โ42 matches
| Metric | Kupcic | Mordini |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 52% | 40% |
| Sets won | 52% | 45% |
| Games won | 50% | 49% |