Jan Kupcic vs Luca CastagnolaPrediction, Head-to-Head Results, and Stats
Jan Kupcic and Luca Castagnola have met 1 time since 2026; Jan Kupcic leads 1–0. Across all meetings Kupcic has taken 2 sets to Castagnola's 1. Their most recent meeting: Jan Kupcic won at M15 Ljubljana (2026).
Spread & Straight-Sets Form
Completed best-of-3 matches · Last 12 months
| Indicator | Kupcic | Castagnola | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indicator | Jan Kupcic | Luca Castagnola | ||
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 3/5 | 56% | 15/27 |
| Wins a set when losing | 33% | 4/12 | 37% | 13/35 |
| Goes to a deciding set | 35% | 6/17 | 40% | 25/62 |
| Covers −1.5 sets as favorite | 100% | 2/2 | 44% | 11/25 |
| Covers +1.5 sets as underdog | 43% | 6/14 | 45% | 15/33 |
| Tiebreak sets won | 50% | 1/2 | 47% | 7/15 |
| Wins after taking set 1 | 57% | 4/7 | 74% | 20/27 |
| Wins 2-0 after taking set 1 | 43% | 3/7 | 56% | 15/27 |
Colored rows are higher-is-better: green above 50%, red below. Favorite/underdog set by book odds; cover rows count only matches with odds on record. Head-to-head: 0 of 1 completed meetings ended in straight sets (Kupcic 0, Castagnola 0).
Style Matchup
Playing styles and historical archetype record
Kupcic
🧱 The Wall
Castagnola
🧱 The Wall
Matchup analysis
Both Jan Kupcic and Luca Castagnola are 🧱 The Wall types. Mirror matchups usually come down to execution, fitness, and surface fit, across 276 matches in our dataset the historical split is about even.
Previous meetings
1 career meeting, newest first
Jun 4, 2026
M15 Ljubljana
C Clay · 2nd Round
Prop Research
Hit rates on common betting markets · Last 90 days
| Outcome | Kupcic | Castagnola | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outcome | Jan Kupcic | Luca Castagnola | ||
| 1 or more | 90% | 9/10 | 74% | 17/23 |
| 3 or more | 40% | 4/10 | 30% | 7/23 |
| 5 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 10 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 15 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/23 |
| 20 or more | 0% | 0/10 | 0% | 0/23 |
Player ROI
Hypothetical if you put 1u on each player to win every one of their matches · Last 90 days
| Metric | Kupcic | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| W-L | 6–5 | 12–10 |
| Avg odds | 3.22 | 2.31 |
| ROI % | +39.6% | -4.4% |
| Units P/L | +4.36u | -0.97u |
Travel
Last 30 days
| Metric | Kupcic | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Countries | 1 | 2 |
| Events | 2 | 2 |
| Matches | 3 | 4 |
| Distance | — | — |
| Route | SLO | GER → SLO |
Host country from the tournament each match was played in, over the last 30 days. Route is the order of countries visited; consecutive stops in the same country are shown once. Distance is the great-circle total between host cities, shown only when every stop in the window is geocoded. A rough fatigue signal, not a headline stat.
Common opponents
Results vs. opponents both players faced · Last 12 months
Across 3 shared opponents, both Kupcic and Castagnola posted a 33% win rate.
| Opponent | Kupcic | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Sebastian Sorger | L 06 16 | L 26 26 |
| Dimitris Sakellaridis | L 61 26 26 | L 16 16 |
| Michelangelo Zvech Flaborea Mreule | W 61 62 | W 36 75 76 |
Recent Form
Last five matches per player
Sebastian Sorger
M25 Maribor · 1st Round
Aug 26
Giuseppe La Vela
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Andrea Fiorentini
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 1st Round
Aug 19
Bor Artnak
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · 2nd Round
Jun 25
Michelangelo Zvech Flaborea Mreule
M15 Slovenska Bistrica · 1st Round
Jun 24
Dimitris Sakellaridis
M25 Samobor · 1st Round
Jun 16
Dylan Dietrich
M15 Ljubljana · Final
Jun 7
Alexander Weis
M15 Ljubljana · Quarterfinals
Jun 6
Sebastian Sorger
M25 Slovenj Gradec · Quarterfinals
Aug 21
Stefan Popovic
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 2nd Round
Aug 20
Maximilian Figl
M25 Slovenj Gradec · 1st Round
Aug 18
Bruno Fernandez
M15 Trier · 1st Round
Aug 12
Vladyslav Orlov
M25 Bolzano · 2nd Round
Jul 29
Luca Parenti
M25 Bolzano · 1st Round
Jul 28
Dimitris Sakellaridis
M15 Nova Gorica · Final
Jul 19
Gabriele Bosio
M15 Nova Gorica · Semifinals
Jul 18
Win rate
Matches, sets and games won · Last 12 months · 17–62 matches
| Metric | Kupcic | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Matches won | 29% | 44% |
| Sets won | 35% | 45% |
| Games won | 43% | 48% |
Record by tier
Head-to-head record by tournament tier
| Stage | Kupcic | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| ITF M15 | 1 | 0 |
By surface
Head-to-head record per surface
| Surface | Kupcic | Castagnola |
|---|---|---|
| Clay | 1 | 0 |
Share this matchup
Copy the link to paste in Discord or group chats.